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FINAL
Nov 1, 2025 12:00 PM EDT
UCF 3 vs BAY 30
Week 10
5-7
UCF
3
FINAL
30
5-7
Baylor
BAY
-3 (-115)o59 (-115)
tv208, ESPNU
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UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears Betting Trends

Updated:Nov 1, 2025 2:35 AM EDT

The upcoming Saturday football showdown on November 1, 2025, between the UCF Knights and the Baylor Bears at McLane Stadium in Waco, TX, is set to be an exciting NCAAF regular season game. Both teams bring contrasting strengths to the field, making this game a prime candidate for bettors interested in detailed betting trends and game insights.

The Baylor Bears, favored with a -3.5 point spread and priced at -165, have a solid passing offense averaging 318.4 yards per game, but face a stout UCF pass defense that limits opponents to just 146.3 passing yards. Conversely, UCF's offense is balanced with 237 passing yards and a strong rushing attack, while Baylor's defense allows 190.5 rushing yards per game. Both teams' pass protection and pass rush stats will be crucial, as Baylor's offensive line has allowed 11.5 sacks while UCF's defense has recorded 13.7 sacks, indicating a potential quarterback pressure battle.

Starting quarterbacks will play a pivotal role, with Baylor likely starting their first-string QB given no injury concerns, while UCF's QB is also expected to play despite a questionable tag. The total points line is set at 59.5, leaning towards an under bet given Baylor's recent games tending to go under the total and UCF's defensive strengths.

Recent performances show Baylor losing two close games and winning three out of their last five, while UCF has struggled with three losses in their last five. The betting trends favor Baylor at home, but UCF's ability to cover spreads on the road makes this a competitive betting market. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU, providing fans with a great viewing experience.

For bettors looking to capitalize on these betting trends and game insights, this matchup offers a strategic opportunity. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge. Check out the thrilling conclusion of their last matchup on September 30, 2023, where Baylor edged UCF 36-35 for added context.

Who is favored to win the UCF Knights vs Baylor Bears matchup?

ATS Records

UCF

Baylor

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
4-8 (230th)Against the Spread2-10 (265th)
5-7 (179th)Straight Up5-7 (158th)
-6.0Straight Up Units-4.5
6-6Over / Under6-6

TEAM MATCHUP

UCF

Baylor

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
24.3Points31.1
378.8Total Yards451.1
5.7Yards Per Play5.7
220.8Passing Yards309.6
20.8 - 33.6 (62%)Completions-Attempts25.8 - 42.6 (60.5%)
6.6Yards Per Passing Play7.3
8.8Sacks-Yards Lost11.7
158Rushing Yards141.5
32.3Attempts34.2
4.9Yards Per Rush4.1
18.21st Downs24.8
8.8Passing13.2
8Rushing9.1
1.3Penalties2.5
4.8 / 14 (33.9%)3rd Down5.4 / 14.4 (37.6%)
1.7 / 3 (55.6%)4th Down2.2 / 4.1 (53.1%)
2.3 / 2.8 (84.8%)Red Zone3.5 / 4.3 (80.8%)
7.6 (57.2)Penalties (Yards)6 (61.4)
1Interceptions1
0.5Fumbles Lost1
67.7Total Plays78.6
5Kickoffs5.9
2.1Returns2.8
45.1Yards63.9
21.6Yards Per Return22.6
4Punts2.3
1.5Returns1.5
16.3Yards11.8
10.9Yards Per Return7.8

Recent Results

UCF

Baylor

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs West Virginia
Oct 18, 2025
W
45-13
W
-6½
O
46½
at Cincinnati
Oct 11, 2025
L
11-20
W
+10
U
56
vs Kansas
Oct 4, 2025
L
20-27
L
+3½
U
53½
at Kansas State
Sep 27, 2025
L
20-34
L
+5½
O
48½
vs North Carolina
Sep 20, 2025
W
34-9
W
-7
U
46½
vs North Carolina A&T
Sep 6, 2025
W
68-7
W
-37½
O
51½
vs Jacksonville State
Aug 28, 2025
W
17-10
L
-20½
U
53
vs Utah
Nov 29, 2024
L
14-28
L
-10
U
46½
at West Virginia
Nov 23, 2024
L
21-31
L
-3
U
60½
at Arizona State
Nov 9, 2024
L
31-35
L
+2½
O
56
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Cincinnati
Oct 25, 2025
L
20-41
L
+3½
U
68½
at TCU
Oct 18, 2025
L
36-42
L
+3
O
66½
vs Kansas State
Oct 4, 2025
W
35-34
L
-4½
O
60½
at Oklahoma State
Sep 27, 2025
W
45-27
L
-21
O
58½
vs Arizona State
Sep 20, 2025
L
24-27
L
-2½
U
60½
vs Samford
Sep 13, 2025
W
42-7
L
-51½
U
64½
at SMU
Sep 6, 2025
W
48-45
W
+3
O
65½
vs Auburn
Aug 29, 2025
L
24-38
L
+1
O
56½
at LSU
Dec 31, 2024
L
31-44
L
-3½
O
62½
vs Kansas
Nov 30, 2024
W
45-17
W
+1½
P
62
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

UCF

UCF

Baylor

BAY
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
Baylor @ UCFSep 30, 2023
36-35
BAY
+8
BAY
56½
O

UCF

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Baylor

Matchup
Date
Time
vs Houston
tv219, FOX Sports 1
Nov 7, 2025
20:00 EST
at Texas Tech
tvFOX
Nov 15, 2025
15:30 EST
vs Oklahoma State
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
16:00 EST
at Brigham Young
tvESPN2, 209
Nov 29, 2025
13:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
vs Utah
tvESPN2, 209
Nov 15, 2025
19:00 EST
at Arizona
tvTNT, 245
Nov 22, 2025
13:00 EST
vs Houston
tvTNT, 245, 246
Nov 29, 2025
12:00 EST
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