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FINAL
Oct 18, 2025 4:15 PM EDT
MSST 21 vs FLA 23
Week 8
5-8
Mississippi State
21
FINAL
23
4-8
Florida
FLA
-9½ (-110)o50½ (-116)
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
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Mississippi State Bulldogs Vs Florida Gators Betting Trends

Updated:Oct 17, 2025 3:07 AM EDT

The upcoming Saturday football clash on October 18, 2025, in NCAAF features the Starkville Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Gainesville Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL. The game airs on SEC Network and kicks off the weekend with can’t-miss action.

Neither team has officially named a starting quarterback, but both signal-callers are expected to play without injury concerns.

Florida Gators come in as 9.5-point favorites (-110) with an over/under of 51.0. The Gators boast a potent pass offense, averaging 227.3 yards per game, against a Bulldogs pass defense allowing 171.8 yards. Meanwhile, Mississippi State averages 183.8 rushing yards versus a Gators defense surrendering 113.3. Both teams struggle in pass protection, with Florida allowing 2 sacks per contest and MSU yielding 1.5, setting up a key battle in the trenches.

Analyzing betting trends, Mississippi State’s underdog value stands out in this matchup.

Recent form: Florida is 2-4 ATS at home this year, while Mississippi State has covered 5 of 6 straight, making the Bulldogs a savvy pick at +9.5.

In their 45-28 win on September 21, 2024, the Gators defeated the Bulldogs 45-28. You can review team ATS records on our NCAAF standings page.

The best odds are Florida -9.5 -110 and Mississippi State +9.5 -110 at Caesars.

Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your wager with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and gain an edge with our expert betting insights.

What is the point spread for Mississippi State vs Florida?

ATS Records

Mississippi State

Florida

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
8-5 (56th)Against the Spread5-7 (200th)
5-8 (183rd)Straight Up4-8 (192nd)
-4.4Straight Up Units-5.2
7-6Over / Under5-7

TEAM MATCHUP

Mississippi State

Florida

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
30.4Points21.6
399.2Total Yards341.3
5.9Yards Per Play5.4
241.2Passing Yards204.6
18.7 - 29.9 (62.5%)Completions-Attempts19.5 - 31.2 (62.6%)
8.1Yards Per Passing Play6.6
23.6Sacks-Yards Lost8.8
158Rushing Yards136.8
42.2Attempts32
3.7Yards Per Rush4.3
21.81st Downs18.9
9.3Passing9.2
10.1Rushing8
2.5Penalties1.8
6.1 / 14.7 (41.4%)3rd Down4.3 / 12.6 (34.4%)
1 / 2.2 (44.8%)4th Down0.7 / 1.6 (42.1%)
3.5 / 3.9 (88.2%)Red Zone2.8 / 3 (91.7%)
7.2 (61.5)Penalties (Yards)5.1 (43.7)
0.7Interceptions1.2
0.5Fumbles Lost0.3
75.6Total Plays64.8
6Kickoffs5
0.7Returns1.2
9.1Yards17.4
13.1Yards Per Return14.9
4.5Punts4.2
1Returns1.1
13.8Yards12.2
13.8Yards Per Return11.2

Recent Results

Mississippi State

Florida

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Texas A&M
Oct 4, 2025
L
9-31
L
+17½
U
57½
vs Tennessee
Sep 27, 2025
L
34-41
W
+7½
O
63½
vs Northern Illinois
Sep 20, 2025
W
38-10
W
-24
U
48½
vs Alcorn State
Sep 13, 2025
W
63-0
W
-42½
O
55½
vs Arizona State
Sep 6, 2025
W
24-20
W
+5½
U
58½
at Southern Miss
Aug 30, 2025
W
34-17
W
-14½
U
60
at Ole Miss
Nov 29, 2024
L
14-26
W
+25
U
63½
vs Missouri
Nov 23, 2024
L
20-39
L
+8½
O
57½
at Tennessee
Nov 9, 2024
L
14-33
W
+25½
U
61½
vs Massachusetts
Nov 2, 2024
W
45-20
W
-19½
O
59½
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Texas A&M
Oct 11, 2025
L
17-34
L
+7
O
48
vs Texas
Oct 4, 2025
W
29-21
W
+5
O
42½
at Miami (FL)
Sep 20, 2025
L
7-26
L
+8½
U
51
at LSU
Sep 13, 2025
L
10-20
L
+4½
U
47½
vs South Florida
Sep 6, 2025
L
16-18
L
-18½
U
57½
vs LIU
Aug 30, 2025
W
55-0
W
-46½
U
56½
vs Tulane
Dec 20, 2024
W
33-8
W
-10
U
50½
at Florida State
Nov 30, 2024
W
31-11
W
-16½
U
45½
vs Ole Miss
Nov 23, 2024
W
24-17
W
+13½
U
57½
vs LSU
Nov 16, 2024
W
27-16
W
+3½
U
57
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

Mississippi State

MSST

Florida

FLA
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
Florida @ Mississippi StateSep 21, 2024
45-28
FLA
-6½
FLA
57½
O
Florida @ Mississippi StateSep 29, 2018
13-6
FLA
+7
FLA
50½
U

Mississippi State

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Florida

Matchup
Date
Time
vs Texas
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Oct 25, 2025
16:15 EDT
at Arkansas
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 1, 2025
16:00 EDT
vs Georgia
tvESPN, 206, ESPN Networks
Nov 8, 2025
12:00 EST
at Missouri
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 15, 2025
19:45 EST
vs Ole Miss
tvABC, ESPN Networks
Nov 28, 2025
12:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
vs Georgia
tvABC
Nov 1, 2025
15:30 EDT
at Kentucky
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 8, 2025
19:30 EST
at Ole Miss
tvESPN, 206, ESPN Networks
Nov 15, 2025
19:00 EST
vs Tennessee
tvABC, ESPN Networks
Nov 22, 2025
19:30 EST
vs Florida State
tvESPN2, 209, ESPN Networks
Nov 29, 2025
16:30 EST
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