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FINAL
Nov 8, 2025 1:00 PM EST
MOSU 21 vs LIB 17
Week 11
7-6
Missouri State
21
FINAL
17
4-8
Liberty
LIB
-7½ (-108)o51½ (-112)
tvESPN+
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Missouri State Bears vs Liberty Flames Betting Trends

Updated:Nov 8, 2025 2:05 AM EST

The upcoming Saturday football clash on November 8, 2025, between the Missouri State Bears and Liberty Flames at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA promises an exciting NCAAF showdown. Liberty Flames, with a 4-4 straight-up record and strong home performance (3-1), face off against the Missouri State Bears, who hold a 5-3 record and a solid away record (3-1). The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, providing fans with excellent viewing access.

Quarterback play will be a key factor, with Liberty likely starting their main QB, leveraging their balanced offense which averages 197.4 passing yards and 174 rushing yards per game. Missouri State counters with a stronger passing offense (254 passing yards per game) but a weaker rushing attack (118.8 yards). Liberty’s defense tends to allow fewer points (24.1) compared to Missouri State’s 27 points allowed. The Flames’ pass protection and defensive pass rush will be tested against Missouri State’s efficient passing attack.

Betting trends favor Liberty Flames as favorites with a -7.5 point spread and total points set at 51.5. Liberty’s home ATS record is less impressive (1-3), whereas Missouri State holds a better ATS record overall (5-3). This game offers valuable betting insights for sharp bettors to evaluate pass vs run matchups and quarterback performance. The best odds for Liberty Flames at -7.5 are available at Caesars, while Missouri State Bears are +7.5 underdogs.

For those looking to dive deeper into betting trends and game stats, this matchup provides a compelling opportunity. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.

How can I use betting trends to make smarter bets on this game?

ATS Records

Missouri State

Liberty

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
7-6 (109th)Against the Spread3-9 (256th)
7-6 (126th)Straight Up4-8 (195th)
+1.2Straight Up Units-6.3
5-8Over / Under6-6

TEAM MATCHUP

Missouri State

Liberty

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
25.6Points25.6
392.2Total Yards389.5
5.9Yards Per Play6
279.7Passing Yards195.5
21.3 - 33.5 (63.7%)Completions-Attempts14.5 - 26.3 (55.1%)
8.4Yards Per Passing Play7.4
23.6Sacks-Yards Lost13
112.5Rushing Yards194
32.1Attempts42.3
3.5Yards Per Rush4.6
20.41st Downs20.4
11.3Passing8.8
6.6Rushing10.2
2.5Penalties1.4
4.8 / 13.2 (36.3%)3rd Down5.7 / 14 (40.5%)
0.6 / 1 (61.5%)4th Down1.1 / 2.1 (52%)
2.8 / 3.4 (84.1%)Red Zone3 / 3.5 (85.7%)
7.6 (66.5)Penalties (Yards)6.2 (55.6)
0.8Interceptions1.1
0.5Fumbles Lost0.7
69.5Total Plays70.7
5.2Kickoffs4.9
2.5Returns2.3
47.6Yards48.1
19.3Yards Per Return21.4
4.8Punts3.8
1.2Returns1
7.5Yards3
6.1Yards Per Return3

Recent Results

Missouri State

Liberty

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Florida International
Oct 29, 2025
W
28-21
W
-3
U
50½
at New Mexico State
Oct 22, 2025
W
24-17
W
-2½
U
51½
at Middle Tennessee
Oct 8, 2025
W
22-20
L
-3
U
51½
vs Western Kentucky
Sep 27, 2025
L
22-27
L
+3½
U
59½
vs Tennessee-Martin
Sep 20, 2025
W
42-10
W
-14½
U
55½
vs SMU
Sep 13, 2025
L
10-28
W
+28½
U
60½
at Marshall
Sep 6, 2025
W
21-20
W
+7
U
53½
at USC
Aug 30, 2025
L
13-73
L
+36½
O
60
vs South Dakota State
Nov 23, 2024
L
9-45
L
+14½
U
57½
at North Dakota State
Nov 16, 2024
L
21-59
L
+13½
O
57½
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Delaware
Nov 1, 2025
W
59-30
W
-3½
O
52½
vs New Mexico State
Oct 14, 2025
W
30-27
L
-10½
O
48½
at UTEP
Oct 8, 2025
W
19-8
W
-2½
U
45½
at Old Dominion
Sep 27, 2025
L
7-21
W
+14½
U
53½
vs James Madison
Sep 20, 2025
L
13-31
L
+7½
U
46½
at Bowling Green
Sep 13, 2025
L
13-23
L
-6
U
51½
at Jacksonville State
Sep 6, 2025
L
24-34
L
-6
O
50½
vs Maine
Aug 30, 2025
W
28-7
L
-25½
U
51½
vs Buffalo
Jan 4, 2025
L
7-26
L
+4
U
51
at Sam Houston State
Nov 29, 2024
L
18-20
L
-2½
U
47½
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

Missouri State

MOSU

Liberty

LIB
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
No records available

Missouri State

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Liberty

Matchup
Date
Time
vs UTEP
tvESPN+
Nov 15, 2025
15:00 EST
at Kennesaw State
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
14:00 EST
vs Louisiana Tech
tvESPN+
Nov 29, 2025
14:00 EST
at Arkansas State
tvESPN2, 209
Dec 18, 2025
21:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
at Florida International
tvESPN+
Nov 15, 2025
17:00 EST
at Louisiana Tech
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
15:00 EST
vs Kennesaw State
tv221, CBS Sports Netwo
Nov 29, 2025
15:30 EST
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