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FINAL
Nov 22, 2025 3:00 PM EST
SHSU 17 vs MTU 31
Week 13
MTU
-7 (-105)o53½ (-107)
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Sam Houston Bearkats vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Picks
Updated:Nov 22, 2025 1:54 AM EST
The upcoming Saturday football clash on November 22, 2025, between the Sam Houston Bearkats and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Johnny Red Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, TN, is set to be a thrilling NCAAF regular season Week 13 game. Broadcast live on espn+, this game offers exciting betting action for fans and bettors alike.
Our expert picks favor the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders with a predicted score of 32 to 23 over the Sam Houston Bearkats. We predict Middle Tennessee to cover the spread at -6.5 with a 57.2% hit rate and an EV of 4.1%, making this point spread a smart bet. Additionally, the predicted total score is approximately 54.9 points, with an over 53.5 points option holding a 54.2% hit rate and a positive EV of 0.7%. This aligns well with recent profitable betting trends in the American Total market, which has been favorable in the last 10 games.
Our prediction model has been profitable recently, winning 6 of the last 10 games in the American Total market, demonstrating a strong edge for bettors. These insights can help you make smarter betting decisions for this NCAAF matchup. For more detailed NCAAF picks and predictions, check out our comprehensive NCAAF picks and predictions.
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UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
MTUSpread
CONSENSUS LINE
-6½ (-113)
PROJECTION
SHSU (23) - MTU (32)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+3.8%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
4/10
40%
NCAAF
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