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FINAL
Nov 1, 2025 3:30 PM EDT
NMSU 16 vs WKU 35
Week 10
4-8
New Mexico State
16
FINAL
35
9-4
Western Kentucky
WKU
-8½ (-110)o54½ (-110)
tvESPN+
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Betting Trends: New Mexico State Aggies vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Updated:Nov 1, 2025 3:01 AM EDT

The upcoming Saturday football game on November 1, 2025, features an exciting NCAAF matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY. This game is a must-watch for bettors interested in betting trends, as both teams have shown contrasting strengths that could influence the outcome and betting lines.

Western Kentucky, the home team, enters this game with a strong offensive record, averaging 286.1 passing yards and 121.1 rushing yards per game, showing a balanced attack. Their defense allows 217.3 passing yards and 191.6 rushing yards, indicating potential vulnerabilities in run defense. New Mexico State, the away team, counters with 250.4 passing yards and 68.9 rushing yards on offense, but their defense is notably stingy against the pass, allowing just 241.7 yards and 143.3 rushing yards per game.

Starting quarterbacks will be pivotal in this contest. Western Kentucky’s quarterback, likely the starter given no injury notes, offers a dynamic passing game, while New Mexico State's starter also brings a solid passing game but may struggle against Western Kentucky's pass rush. The betting line favors Western Kentucky by 8.5 points, with an over/under set at 53.5 points, reflecting expectations of a moderately high-scoring affair.

Western Kentucky holds a 6-2 straight-up record and a 6-2 ATS record, especially strong at home (3-1 both SU and ATS), while New Mexico State has struggled away with a 0-3 straight-up and 1-2 ATS away record. These betting trends favor the Hilltoppers, who also have momentum from recent wins.

For bettors, these game insights suggest leaning towards Western Kentucky to cover the spread, given their home advantage, stronger offensive stats, and favorable ATS record. The over/under is balanced, but with both teams capable of scoring, the over is tempting. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+, offering fans a great viewing experience.

Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge. For reference, check out their last matchup on November 9, 2024, where Western Kentucky won 41-28.

How do the teams' recent performances affect betting decisions?

ATS Records

New Mexico State

Western Kentucky

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
6-6 (124th)Against the Spread10-3 (10th)
4-8 (200th)Straight Up9-4 (71st)
-3.9Straight Up Units+2.0
5-7Over / Under6-7

TEAM MATCHUP

New Mexico State

Western Kentucky

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
21.6Points29.5
327.8Total Yards406.7
4.5Yards Per Play5.7
250.5Passing Yards272.2
23 - 39.3 (58.5%)Completions-Attempts25 - 38.1 (65.7%)
6.4Yards Per Passing Play7.1
21.6Sacks-Yards Lost12.3
77.3Rushing Yards134.5
29.8Attempts31.8
2.6Yards Per Rush4.2
20.41st Downs21.4
11.8Passing12.6
5.5Rushing7.3
3.2Penalties1.5
6.5 / 15.6 (41.7%)3rd Down6.5 / 14.2 (45.7%)
0.6 / 1.4 (41.2%)4th Down0.4 / 1.2 (33.3%)
2.7 / 3 (88.9%)Red Zone3.3 / 3.9 (84.3%)
6.2 (54.5)Penalties (Yards)6.2 (61.3)
1.3Interceptions1
0.7Fumbles Lost0.6
71.9Total Plays71.7
5Kickoffs5.8
1.3Returns1.5
23.5Yards29.1
17.6Yards Per Return18.9
5.1Punts4.4
1.4Returns0.4
7.7Yards0.7
5.4Yards Per Return1.8

Recent Results

New Mexico State

Western Kentucky

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Missouri State
Oct 22, 2025
L
17-24
L
+2½
U
51½
at Liberty
Oct 14, 2025
L
27-30
W
+10½
O
48½
vs Sam Houston State
Oct 2, 2025
W
37-10
W
+2
U
52
at New Mexico
Sep 27, 2025
L
20-38
L
+15½
O
53½
at Louisiana Tech
Sep 13, 2025
L
14-49
L
+10
O
42½
vs Tulsa
Sep 6, 2025
W
21-14
W
+3½
U
52½
vs Bryant University
Aug 30, 2025
W
19-3
L
-19½
U
53½
vs UTEP
Nov 30, 2024
L
35-42
L
-3
O
51½
at Middle Tennessee
Nov 23, 2024
W
36-21
W
+3½
O
53½
at Texas A&M
Nov 16, 2024
L
3-38
W
+38½
U
54½
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Louisiana Tech
Oct 21, 2025
W
28-27
W
+5½
O
49½
vs Florida International
Oct 14, 2025
L
6-25
L
-10
U
55½
at Delaware
Oct 3, 2025
W
27-24
W
+2½
U
62½
at Missouri State
Sep 27, 2025
W
27-22
W
-3½
U
59½
vs Nevada
Sep 20, 2025
W
31-16
W
-7½
U
54½
at Toledo
Sep 6, 2025
L
21-45
L
+7½
O
57½
vs North Alabama
Aug 30, 2025
W
55-6
W
-27½
O
60½
vs Sam Houston State
Aug 23, 2025
W
41-24
W
-10
O
59½
at James Madison
Dec 18, 2024
L
17-27
L
+7
U
50½
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

New Mexico State

NMSU

Western Kentucky

WKU
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico StateNov 9, 2024
41-28
WKY
+17½
NMS
53½
O
New Mexico State @ Western KentuckyNov 11, 2023
38-29
NMS
+4½
NMS
54
O

New Mexico State

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Western Kentucky

Matchup
Date
Time
vs Kennesaw State
tvESPN+
Nov 8, 2025
16:00 EST
at Tennessee
tvSEC Network, 611
Nov 15, 2025
16:15 EST
at UTEP
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
15:00 EST
vs Middle Tennessee
tvESPN+
Nov 29, 2025
15:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
vs Middle Tennessee
tvESPN+
Nov 15, 2025
15:30 EST
at LSU
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 22, 2025
19:45 EST
at Jacksonville State
tvESPN+
Nov 29, 2025
14:00 EST
at Southern Miss
tvESPN, 206
Dec 23, 2025
17:30 EST
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