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FINAL OT
Oct 25, 2025 12:00 PM EDT
UVA 17 vs UNC 16
Week 9
11-3
#15 Virginia
17
FINAL
16
4-8
North Carolina
UVA
-12 (-110)o51½ (-105)
tvACC Network, 612
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Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

Updated:Oct 25, 2025 3:17 AM EDT

The upcoming Saturday football game on October 25, 2025, features the Virginia Cavaliers visiting the North Carolina Tar Heels at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC. This NCAAF regular season Week 9 matchup promises exciting betting trends and game insights for bettors looking to make informed wagers. The Tar Heels will start their quarterback who has shown a solid passing offense, averaging 162.5 passing yards per game, but they face a tough defense from the Cavaliers who allow just 231.9 passing yards on average. Virginia's offense is more potent, averaging 258.4 passing yards per game, against North Carolina's defense allowing 240.8 passing yards. The Cavaliers also excel in rushing offense, averaging 203.9 yards per game, while the Tar Heels allow 119.2 rushing yards defensively, suggesting a potential ground game advantage for Virginia.

North Carolina's pass protection has been a mixed bag, but Virginia's pass rush, averaging 2.4 sacks per game, could disrupt the Tar Heels' offensive flow. The point spread is set at Virginia -10.5, with the total points over/under at 51, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game. Bettors should consider the Cavaliers' strong ATS record of 5-2 compared to the Tar Heels' 3-3, highlighting Virginia's better performance against the spread this season. The game will be broadcast on ACC Network, and the venue's outdoor setting at Kenan Stadium may also influence gameplay dynamics.

Recent form shows Virginia as the favorite with a better overall record and stronger offensive stats, making them the best bet for this contest. The previous matchup on October 26, 2024, saw North Carolina lose 14-41 at Virginia's Scott Stadium, which could motivate the Tar Heels to perform better this time. For more detailed betting trends and to sharpen your bets, check out our OddsTrader Turbo subscription or place your wager with a U.S. regulated sportsbook.

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ATS Records

Virginia

North Carolina

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
9-5 (36th)Against the Spread5-6-1 (176th)
11-3 (30th)Straight Up4-8 (202nd)
+5.7Straight Up Units-6.5
5-9Over / Under5-7

TEAM MATCHUP

Virginia

North Carolina

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
30.8Points19.3
417.9Total Yards289.1
5.7Yards Per Play4.9
239.1Passing Yards183.9
22.5 - 35.1 (64%)Completions-Attempts18.9 - 29.6 (63.9%)
6.8Yards Per Passing Play6.2
8.7Sacks-Yards Lost10.3
178.7Rushing Yards105.2
39.1Attempts28.8
4.6Yards Per Rush3.6
21.61st Downs16.6
10.8Passing8.7
9.6Rushing6
1.3Penalties1.9
8.3 / 16.6 (49.8%)3rd Down4.8 / 13.1 (36.9%)
1.1 / 2.3 (46.9%)4th Down0.9 / 1.3 (73.3%)
3.8 / 4.6 (82.8%)Red Zone2.3 / 2.9 (77.1%)
5.3 (44.1)Penalties (Yards)6.6 (62.6)
0.7Interceptions0.5
0.3Fumbles Lost0.8
75.6Total Plays60.2
6.1Kickoffs4.4
0.8Returns1.8
23.1Yards33.5
29.5Yards Per Return18.3
3.5Punts4.7
2.4Returns1.4
20.6Yards11.4
8.8Yards Per Return8.1

Recent Results

Virginia

North Carolina

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Washington State
Oct 18, 2025
W
22-20
L
-16
U
56½
at Louisville
Oct 4, 2025
W
30-27
W
+6½
U
60½
vs Florida State
Sep 26, 2025
W
46-38
W
+7
O
60½
vs Stanford
Sep 20, 2025
W
48-20
W
-16½
O
48
vs William & Mary
Sep 13, 2025
W
55-16
W
-31
O
53½
at North Carolina State
Sep 6, 2025
L
31-35
L
+3
O
54
vs Coastal Carolina
Aug 30, 2025
W
48-7
W
-13½
O
54½
at Virginia Tech
Nov 30, 2024
L
17-37
L
+4½
O
44½
vs SMU
Nov 23, 2024
L
7-33
L
+11½
U
54½
at Notre Dame
Nov 16, 2024
L
14-35
L
+20½
U
51
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at California
Oct 17, 2025
L
18-21
W
+7½
U
46½
vs Clemson
Oct 4, 2025
L
10-38
L
+14½
O
47½
at UCF
Sep 20, 2025
L
9-34
L
+7
U
46½
vs Richmond
Sep 13, 2025
W
41-6
W
-24½
U
47½
at Charlotte
Sep 6, 2025
W
20-3
W
-15½
U
49½
vs TCU
Sep 1, 2025
L
14-48
L
+3½
O
54½
vs Connecticut
Dec 28, 2024
L
14-27
L
-2½
U
53½
vs North Carolina State
Nov 30, 2024
L
30-35
L
-2½
O
54½
at Boston College
Nov 23, 2024
L
21-41
L
-2½
O
50½
vs Wake Forest
Nov 16, 2024
W
31-24
L
-10½
U
64½
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

Virginia

UVA

North Carolina

UNC
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
North Carolina @ VirginiaOct 26, 2024
41-14
NC
+3½
NC
58½
U
Virginia @ North CarolinaOct 21, 2023
31-27
UVA
+24
UVA
58
P
North Carolina @ VirginiaNov 5, 2022
31-28
NC
+7½
UVA
61½
U
Virginia @ North CarolinaSep 18, 2021
39-59
NC
-7½
NC
66½
O
North Carolina @ VirginiaOct 31, 2020
41-44
UVA
+8
UVA
60½
O

Virginia

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

North Carolina

Matchup
Date
Time
at California
tvESPN2, 209
Nov 1, 2025
15:45 EDT
vs Wake Forest
tvESPN, 206, ESPN Networks
Nov 8, 2025
19:00 EST
at Duke
tvESPN2, 209, ESPN Networks
Nov 15, 2025
15:30 EST
vs Virginia Tech
tvESPN, 206
Nov 29, 2025
19:00 EST
vs Duke
tvABC
Dec 6, 2025
20:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
at Syracuse
tvESPN, 206
Oct 31, 2025
19:30 EDT
vs Stanford
tvThe CW
Nov 8, 2025
16:30 EST
at Wake Forest
tvThe CW
Nov 15, 2025
16:30 EST
vs Duke
tvACC Network, 612
Nov 22, 2025
15:30 EST
at North Carolina State
tvACC Network, 612
Nov 29, 2025
19:30 EST
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