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FINAL
Nov 15, 2025 3:30 PM EST
TXST 41 vs USM 14
Week 12
7-6
Texas State
41
FINAL
14
7-6
Southern Miss
USM
-2½ (-125)o65 (-110)
tvESPN+
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Texas State Bobcats vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends

Updated:Nov 15, 2025 2:56 AM EST

The Saturday football matchup on November 15, 2025, between the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Texas State Bobcats at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, MS, promises an exciting NCAAF regular season Week 12 clash. Southern Miss, the home team and favorite with a -3 point spread, is set to start their quarterback who has shown solid performances this season, despite some questionable injury status that looks favorable for playing. Texas State, the underdog, will counter with their starting QB who has been effective in rushing offense, balancing the Bobcats' strong run game against Southern Miss's tough run defense.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles boast a strong pass offense averaging 258.2 yards per game, while Texas State Bobcats have a slightly lower pass defense at 239 yards allowed, suggesting a competitive aerial battle. Texas State's run offense is impressive at 211.7 yards per game versus Southern Miss's run defense at 162.4 yards allowed. Pass protection and pass rush metrics indicate a closely matched game, with Southern Miss allowing 1.56 sacks per game and Texas State allowing 2.22 sacks per game, which could lead to strategic quarterback pressure and defensive plays.

The Golden Eagles have a solid home record of 4-1 ATS, contrasting with Texas State's struggles on the road with a 1-4 ATS record. The total points line is set at 65.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring affair. Last year, Texas State dominated the Golden Eagles 58-3 in their November 16, 2024, meeting, which you can revisit in their last matchup. This history, combined with the current betting trends, suggests a strategic edge for Southern Miss to cover the spread at home in this Saturday football showdown.

For bettors, these betting trends and game insights point to a smart wager on Southern Miss to leverage their home advantage and strong passing game. The best odds today for Southern Miss are -3 at -113 and for Texas State +3 at -107 at Caesars. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.

What is the point spread and total for the Southern Miss vs Texas State game?

ATS Records

Texas State

Southern Miss

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
5-8 (210th)Against the Spread5-7-1 (206th)
7-6 (131st)Straight Up7-6 (130th)
-2.5Straight Up Units-2.2
7-6Over / Under6-7

TEAM MATCHUP

Texas State

Southern Miss

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
36.5Points28.8
472.8Total Yards401.6
7.1Yards Per Play5.7
250.7Passing Yards266
19.5 - 27.8 (70.1%)Completions-Attempts22.2 - 34.9 (63.7%)
9Yards Per Passing Play7.6
11.2Sacks-Yards Lost12.6
222.1Rushing Yards135.6
43Attempts36.2
5.2Yards Per Rush3.8
231st Downs21.7
9.8Passing10.8
11.7Rushing7.9
1.5Penalties2.9
6.2 / 13.4 (46%)3rd Down5.8 / 14.5 (39.7%)
1.2 / 1.9 (60%)4th Down0.8 / 1.6 (47.6%)
4.5 / 4.8 (92.1%)Red Zone3 / 3.6 (83%)
6.9 (60.6)Penalties (Yards)7.5 (60.2)
0.5Interceptions0.8
0.7Fumbles Lost0.3
72.8Total Plays72.8
6.8Kickoffs5.5
2.6Returns1.1
61.1Yards24.2
23.4Yards Per Return22.5
3Punts4.9
1.1Returns1.5
5.5Yards15
5.1Yards Per Return10.3

Recent Results

Texas State

Southern Miss

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Louisiana
Nov 8, 2025
L
39-42
L
-3½
O
63½
vs James Madison
Oct 28, 2025
L
20-52
L
+7
O
55½
at Marshall
Oct 18, 2025
L
37-40
L
-3
O
65½
vs Troy
Oct 11, 2025
L
41-48
L
-7½
O
53½
at Arkansas State
Oct 4, 2025
L
30-31
L
-14
U
64
vs Nicholls State
Sep 20, 2025
W
35-3
L
-32½
U
57
at Arizona State
Sep 13, 2025
L
15-34
L
+18½
U
61½
at UTSA
Sep 6, 2025
W
43-36
W
+4½
O
64½
vs Eastern Michigan
Aug 30, 2025
W
52-27
W
-14
O
56½
vs North Texas
Jan 3, 2025
W
30-28
L
-15½
U
66½
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
at Arkansas State
Nov 8, 2025
W
27-21
L
-6½
U
54½
vs Louisiana-Monroe
Oct 25, 2025
W
49-21
W
-14
O
49½
at Louisiana
Oct 18, 2025
W
22-10
W
-4½
U
54½
at Georgia Southern
Oct 9, 2025
W
38-35
P
-3
O
59½
vs Jacksonville State
Sep 27, 2025
W
42-25
W
-4
O
55½
at Louisiana Tech
Sep 20, 2025
L
20-30
L
+3
U
51½
vs Appalachian State
Sep 13, 2025
W
38-22
W
+3
O
55½
vs Jackson State
Sep 6, 2025
W
38-20
W
-13½
O
53½
vs Mississippi State
Aug 30, 2025
L
17-34
L
+14½
U
60
at Troy
Nov 30, 2024
L
20-52
L
+17½
O
49½
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

Texas State

TXST

Southern Miss

USM
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
Southern Miss @ Texas StateNov 16, 2024
3-58
TXST
-27½
TXST
56½
O
Texas State @ Southern MissSep 30, 2023
50-36
TXST
-6½
TXST
60
O
Southern Miss @ Texas StateOct 22, 2022
20-14
USM
-2½
USM
43
U

Texas State

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Southern Miss

Matchup
Date
Time
vs Louisiana-Monroe
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
17:00 EST
vs South Alabama
tvESPN+
Nov 29, 2025
15:00 EST
vs Rice
tvESPN, 206
Jan 2, 2026
13:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
at South Alabama
tvESPN+
Nov 22, 2025
15:30 EST
vs Troy
tvESPN+
Nov 29, 2025
15:30 EST
vs Western Kentucky
tvESPN, 206
Dec 23, 2025
17:30 EST
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