Despite both Toronto and Boston having similar records to end the season, the Boston Bruins have looked the better of the two teams in the first three games, not what Toronto fans were hoping for given their past issues in the post-season.
If Toronto loses this home game tonight and goes down 3-1, they will be up against it to win three on the bounce against this Boston team.
With that said, we believe in the Leafs and found some nice value on their PK line.
Don’t forget to check out our other NHL picks:
NHL Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+220) at Bet365
Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Saturday, April 27, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena
Betting Trends
- Toronto has a horrible ATS record on home ice this season, having gone 14-27.
- The Boston Bruins have gone 20-21 ATS when playing on the road this season.
It’s All in the Gut
This is dire straits for Toronto: not only do they find themselves down 2-1 in the series but they have also lost their previous four home games against Boston, to go 0-4 on home ice against any team is bad, no matter how bad or good a team may be, maybe 0-4 on the road is seen as bad but 0-4 at home is as bad as it can get.
With that said, we are going to make a rare gut pick here, all the stats are against us in this one, but we believe this is Auston Matthews and Toronto’s last stand, they win tonight and their season could end as Stanley Cup champions, they lose and this could be the end of this teams core as the Leafs have not gone deep into the playoffs since drafting the first round pick Matthews.
Let’s take the Maple Leafs to show some gut tonight and not only win but also cover the spread.
The Pick
Okay, so it’s a gut pick but we also love the value here at +220 NHL betting odds. We were expecting around +190 for the -1.5 PK line, so we see a gut play and 30 cent of value and we are all in.
NHL Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+220) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
