Although it’s a Saturday, most MLB games are still scheduled for the night. This gives everyone a chance to follow our computer‘s favorite bets. Tune in and check out one of the three bets our Model likes tonight, with the best MLB odds from our top sportsbooks.
Our AI Model suggests the Mets will earn a 5.6-3.9 road win against the Angels. New York is the favorite, but a small one at best, sitting at -125. That’s the play for the day.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick: Mets ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
Saturday, August 03, 2024 – 09:38 PM ET at Angel Stadium
Angels Lack Consistency Against Lefties
The Angels have only hit a .103 ISO and wOBA of .285 against lefties over the last month as a projected lineup.
This projected lineup has struck out nearly 21% of the time but has also walked 5.6% of the time against lefties.
They’ll face David Peterson, who has earned 52.7% of ground balls over the last month. He’s also limited line drives and fly balls. If he can keep the walks down against the Angels, he’ll be gold.
The Hard Contact For Jose Soriano Is Demoralizing
The Angels will pitch Jose Soriano. While he’s had success against lefties, he’s allowed a .473 wOBA to his last 39 righties.
In addition, he’s allowed more than 50% of hard contact to his last 92 batters. Every other batter that makes contact against Soriano has hit it extremely hard.
Meanwhile, the Mets’ offense has six batters hitting an ISO of at least 171 and six batters with a wOBA of at least .309.
MLB Computer Pick
The Mets certainly have the edge in this game. They’re the better team on paper and in the standings.
MLB Pick: Mets ML (-125) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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