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BETTING

Reds vs. Padres MLB Computer Pick: Trust Lodolo’s Pitching Power

After a big weekend from the AI Model, we’ve added some more MLB best bets using its best computer picks for April 29.

The AI Model believes the Reds will add a 4-3 victory over the Padres in the first game of this series. With Nick Lodolo on the mound, we can absolutely get behind the Reds at -110 on the moneyline.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

And don’t forget to check out more picks on our YouTube channel. Today, our expert covered the Twins vs. White Sox and Phillies vs. Angels games.

MLB Pick: Reds ML (-110) at Bet365


Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Monday, April 29, 2024 – 09:40 PM ET at Petco Park


There’s No Stopping Nick Lodolo

The Cincinnati Reds ace left-hander has a 2-0 record with a 2.12 ERA after facing his first 71 batters. He’s struck out 28.2% of batters and has added a .063 ISO and wOBA of .270.

Lodolo won’t have an easy task against the Padres’ offense, which is typically good against lefties. But he is no ordinary lefty. He’s also kept walks down to 5.6%, so traffic won’t get jammed on the base paths.

Don’t Trust Matt Waldron

Last season, Matt Waldron was bad against lefties after allowing a .187 ISO and wOBA of .348 to 85 lefties. This season, he’s held them to a .122 ISO and wOBA of .309 despite earning only 35.5% of ground balls. He’s also allowed 14.6% of walks to lefties.

Something’s got to give. With five lefties in the Cincinnati lineup, hitting a combined .236 ISO and wOBA of .357, the Reds have the edge in this game.

MLB Computer Pick

Consider backing the Reds at -110 MLB odds. Cincinnati might be on the road, but they’ve got the better matchups overall.

MLB Pick: Reds ML (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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