The lines on NFL sides and totals are sharper than ever, and many recreational and professional gamblers alike are turning to player props to find profit during the NFL season.
Due to the huge influx of numbers, the sportsbooks are more likely to make a mistake when it comes to player props and many bettors have found these to be the most profitable way to enjoy the NFL season.
With that in mind, let’s find the three best values on the board for NFL player props in week 1.
Joe Burrow Over 265.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Yes, I know the Cleveland Browns have one of the best defenses in the league. Yes, I know that the Bengals have historically started slow.
However, this number is too low for Joe Burrow, who had 4,918 total passing yards last season and averaged 289.3 passing yards per game.
The Bengals’ defense is awful. Even an inept offense such as the Cleveland Browns will be able to put up points on the lackluster Bengals defense.
What will this force the Bengals to do? Throw!
Even against an elite defense, the current NFL rules favor offense. Joe Burrow will be able to put up numbers with his all-star core of wide receivers. If there’s one thing I’ve learned in watching the NFL, it’s don’t bet against Joe Burrow.
Drake London Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-130) at BetMGM
This is an easy one, folks.
After Michael Penix took over the quarterback position from Kirk Cousins for the Atlanta Falcons last season, he had a favorite target. When Penix dropped back, he looked one way, and that was at Drake London.
It’s pretty easy to throw to your first read when your first read is almost always open.
In the three games that Michael Penix started as the quarterback for the Falcons, Drake London had 22 receptions for 352 yards, averaging 117.3 receiving yards per game. These two have a connection and it will continue in week one.
Bet Drake London to have a huge game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Brock Bowers Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
Brock Bowers was the breakout star for the Las Vegas Raiders with his standout rookie year. He set new records for a rookie tight end in both receiving yards and receptions. Last year, he averaged 70.2 receiving yards per game.
The new Raiders quarterback, Geno Smith, knows how to get his best players involved in the offense. Smith liked to target DK Metcalf early and often in Seattle and it will be the same here in Las Vegas with Brock Bowers.
Bowers is a matchup nightmare as he is too fast to be covered by a linebacker and too big to be covered by a cornerback.
The Raiders will take advantage of this mismatch all season, and they will prove that here in week one. Expect another big game from the best tight end in football.
Take Brock Bowers to go over his receiving yard prop.
Log On and Place These Bets Now!
The NFL player props in week 1 can be a volatile market because small amounts of money can move the line significantly.
During the week, overs usually go up as bettors are more excited to watch their favorite players exceed expectations rather than fall short. As a general rule of thumb, you bet overs early and unders late. Since we have three overs in this article, I would log on and place this bet now to make sure you get the same value that I have outlined in my reasoning for these picks.
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