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Best NBA Player Props for Today

NBA player props offer sports fans the chance to bet on their favorite basketball players. With this market, you can bet on how many points, rebounds and assists a player will get. This in-depth player prop betting guide will cover everything you need to know about this type of prop betting.

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Today’s NBA Player Prop Bets

You can bet on NBA player props at all of the most popular online sportsbooks in the sports betting industry. It is becoming an increasingly popular way to get in on the action during regular season games.

Betting on player props during a basketball game allows you to bet on specific players, like Jordan Poole or Derrick White. Instead of predicting the winner, you can bet on which player will score the most points, who will get a triple-double, who will make the biggest shot and so much more.

Common Types of NBA Player Prop Options

There is a wide range of NBA player prop bets. Some popular bets include who will score the most points, who will make the most 3-pointers and who will have the most rebounds. There are also some unique prop bets that you won’t find anywhere else. For example, you can bet on how many times a player will dunk in a game.

Rebounds

The over/under for rebounds per game in the NBA is a popular bet among basketball fans. This bet is based on the total number of rebounds a player will have in a game. The over/under for this bet is usually between 5 and 10. To win this bet, you must choose whether the player will have more or less than the over/under. If you choose correctly, you will win the bet.

Example: Let’s say the over/under for rebounds in a game featuring the Los Angeles Lakers vs. the Golden State Warriors is set at 9.5. If you believe that Anthony Davis will have more than 9.5 rebounds in the game, you would bet on the over. Conversely, if you think he will have fewer than 9.5 rebounds, you would bet on the under.

Assists

In basketball, an assist is defined as a pass that directly leads to a basket. The player who passes the ball gets credit for the assist. In betting on NBA player props, the over/under for assists per game refers to the number of assists a player is projected to have in a game.

Example: Suppose the over/under for assists in a game featuring the Brooklyn Nets vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is set at 11.5 for James Harden. If you believe Harden will have more than 11.5 assists in the game, you would bet on the over. If you predict he will have fewer than 11.5 assists, you would bet on the under.

Steals

In the NBA, “over/under” bets are common for individual player props. For example, oddsmakers may set the over/under for a player’s steals at 1.5. This means that bettors can wager on whether they think the player will end up with more or fewer than 1.5 steals in the game.

Example: Consider a matchup between the Chicago Bulls and the Miami Heat. If the over/under for Jimmy Butler’s steals in the game is set at 1.5, you can wager on whether you believe Butler will have more or less than 1.5 steals. If you think he will have 2 or more steals, you would bet on the over. If you predict he will have 1 steal or none, you would bet on the under.

Blocks

The over/under for blocks in an NBA game is a bet that you can make on the total number of blocks that will be made in the game. If you think that there will be more than the listed number of blocks, you would bet on the over. If you think there will be fewer blocks, you would bet on the under.

Example: Let’s say the over/under for blocks in a game featuring the Denver Nuggets and the Utah Jazz is set at 4.5. If you anticipate that Rudy Gobert and Nikola Jokic will have a strong defensive presence and there will be more than 4.5 blocks in the game, you would bet on the over. If you believe the game will have fewer blocks, you would bet on the under.

3PM

This over/under bet on 3-point shots made is a popular option among prop bettors. The reason is that it is relatively easy to predict how many 3-pointers a player will make in a game. For example, if a player is averaging 2.5 3-pointers per game, then it is most likely that he will make more than 3 in a game. However, some players are streaky shooters and may make more or less than their average.

When betting on this, consider a player’s average attempts per game and consider how often they are successful.

Example: Imagine a game between the Houston Rockets and the Dallas Mavericks. If the over/under for 3-pointers made by Stephen Curry is set at 4.5, you can bet on whether you think Curry will make more or less than 4.5 3-pointers in the game. If you believe Curry will have a hot shooting night and make 5 or more 3-pointers, you would bet on the over. If you think he will make 4 or fewer, you would bet on the under.

NBA Futures Player Prop Betting Markets

If you’re a fan of the NBA, you might be interested in futures bets on NBA players.

There are a variety of sportsbooks that offer these bets and they can be very lucrative. For example, if you bet on a player to win the MVP award within the next two seasons, you could win a lot of money. If you’re looking for a more speculative bet, you can also make bets on how many points each player will score this season or how many technical fouls a particular player will get.

  • Points Leader
  • MVP (Most Valuable Player)
  • 6MOY (Sixth Man of the Year)
  • MIP (Most Improved Player)
  • ROTY (Rookie of the Year)

You can find these prop betting options, among many other niche options, at a wide variety of online sportsbooks.

NBA Draft & Free Agency Player Props

NBA Draft and free agency are two important parts of the season. This is when teams get new players to help them win games. Over the years, player props have become a popular way of predicting who will be drafted and who will sign with a team. These props are usually based on statistics or interviews. They can give sports fans and bettors a good idea of who to watch during the draft and free agency.

  • First Overall Player Drafted
  • Player’s Draft Position (Over/Under)

The player prop options above are some of the most popular for betting on the NBA draft and free agency players.

Advanced Individual Player Statistics for NBA Prop Betting

When it comes to NBA player prop betting, utilizing advanced individual player statistics can significantly enhance your betting strategy. Beyond the basic stats like points per game or rebounds, advanced metrics offer deeper insights into a player’s efficiency, role and overall impact on the game.

When using these advanced statistics, it’s important to look at them within the context of recent games, matchups and any external factors such as injuries or team dynamics. Combining these insights with traditional stats and current trends can provide a well-rounded view of a player’s potential performance.

In the sections below, we’ll delve into some key statistics and explain what they are, their importance and how you can incorporate them into your player prop betting approach.

Player Efficiency Rating (PER)

The PER is a comprehensive statistic that aims to boil down all of a player’s contributions into a single number. Developed by John Hollinger, it accounts for positive accomplishments like points, rebounds and assists, as well as negative ones like turnovers and missed shots. The league average is always set to 15.

Bettors can better understand a player’s overall efficiency and impact during the time they spend on the court when using PER. A high PER indicates a player who contributes positively in multiple ways, which can be a good indicator of their potential to hit over bets in points, assists or rebounds.

Look for players with a consistently high PER when considering over bets for player points, rebounds or assists. These players are likely to have a significant impact on the game, making them safer bets for achieving high individual stats.

Usage Rate

Usage Rate measures the percentage of team plays utilized by a player while they are on the court. It considers how often a player is involved in play-ending actions like taking shots, getting fouled or turning the ball over.

This stat gives insight into a player’s role and how much their team relies on them offensively. A high usage rate can indicate a player who has many opportunities to score, assist or otherwise contribute to the game’s statistics.

Players with high usage rates are generally good candidates for over bets on scoring or assists props, as they’re likely to have the ball in their hands often. However, consider the matchup and the player’s efficiency to make informed bets at an online sportsbook.

True Shooting Percentage (TS%)

True Shooting Percentage is a measure of shooting efficiency that takes into account field goals, 3-point field goals and free throws. It’s a more accurate reflection of a player’s shooting ability than traditional field goal percentage because it includes the value of three-pointers and the importance of free throws.

The TS% can help bettors identify players who are efficient scorers from all areas of the floor. High TS% players are more likely to be reliable scorers, which can be crucial for over/under points betting.

When betting on a player’s point totals, consider their TS% in conjunction with their usage rate. A high TS% suggests that a player is an efficient scorer, which is especially valuable if they also have a high usage rate.

Assist-to-Turnover Ratio

This statistic compares the number of assists a player records to their turnovers. It’s a key measure of a player’s decision-making and ball-handling efficiency.

A high assist-to-turnover ratio indicates a player who effectively distributes the ball without making many costly mistakes. This can be particularly relevant for point guards or any player with significant ball-handling responsibilities.

Consider players with high assist-to-turnover ratios for over bets on assists. These players are likely to play significant minutes and have a major role in their team’s offense, making them good candidates for accumulating assists without many turnovers.

NBA Player Prop Betting Tips & Strategies

Player prop betting in the NBA offers a thrilling way to engage with basketball games, giving bettors the chance to wager on the performance of individual players rather than the outcome of the game itself. From points scored to rebounds grabbed, assists dished out and more, player props can significantly enhance the excitement of watching a game.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or you’re an experienced bettor who is looking to refine your strategy, understanding some key tips can help you make more informed and potentially successful bets. Below is a wide variety of tried and true strategies for more successful NBA player prop betting:

  • Analyze Player Matchups: Before placing a bet with an online betting site, consider the player’s matchup for the upcoming game. A more challenging matchup can easily shift the odds. Factors such as the opposing team’s defensive strengths, the player’s historical performance against them and any current injuries can greatly influence outcomes.
  • Consider the Game Context: Look at the context of the game, including its importance, potential pace of play and whether it’s likely to be closely contested or a blowout. Players might perform differently in high-stakes games or when the game script favors more scoring.
  • Monitor Player Trends: Pay attention to recent performances to catch players who are on hot streaks or in slumps. A player’s recent stats can provide insights into their current form and potential to meet or exceed prop bet lines.
  • Understand Player Roles & Minutes: Keep an eye on team rotations and any news about changes in player roles. Starters and key bench players who receive consistent minutes are generally more reliable for prop bets.
  • Check Player Injury Reports & Game-Time Decisions: Player availability and last-minute lineup changes can significantly impact prop bets. Always check for injury updates and lineup announcements before placing your bets.
  • Utilize Advanced Statistical Performance Metrics: Incorporate advanced stats like usage rate, player efficiency rating (PER) and matchup-specific analytics into your player prop analysis to get a deeper understanding of a player’s potential performance in a given game. Consider using a betting tool to help compare and contrast these statistics.
  • Bet with Discipline: Set a budget for your betting and stick to it. Avoid chasing losses with impulsive bets and spread your risk across different types of prop bets to manage your bankroll effectively.
  • Shop for the Best Betting Lines: Different online betting sites may offer slightly different prop lines and odds. Shopping around can help you find the most favorable individual lines for your bets.

By employing these strategies, prop bettors can approach NBA betting with a more analytical and informed mindset. Remember, while there’s no guaranteed way to win every bet, being prepared and staying disciplined with your betting strategy can improve your chances of success.

NBA Player Props: Frequently Asked Questions

How do you win NBA player props?

To win an NBA player proposition bet, analyze player statistics, consider recent performance, factor in matchups and monitor injury reports. Betting successfully requires understanding the specific prop bet, such as points scored, rebounds or assists and predicting the player’s performance accurately based on these variables.

What is an example of a prop bet in basketball?

An example of a prop bet in basketball is wagering on the number of points a specific player will score in a game. Another example is betting on your favorite player to be named the MVP after the entire season has concluded.

What are H2H player props in basketball?

Head-to-head (H2H) player props in basketball are bets comparing the performance of two players in a game, such as who will score more points, grab more rebounds or have more assists. Bettors choose which player they believe will outperform the other in the specified category.

What happens if you make a prop bet and the player doesn’t play?

If you make a prop bet and the player does not play, the bet is typically voided and your wager is refunded. The specifics can depend on the specific online sportsbook’s rules, so it is important to review their policies.

Do NBA player props include overtime?

Yes, NBA player props generally include statistics accumulated during overtime. This means that all points, rebounds, assists and other statistical outcomes gathered in the overtime period contribute to the final totals for prop betting purposes.

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