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Nov 15, 2025 3:30 PM EST
Week 12
USA
-4½ (-107)o49½ (-118)
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South Alabama Jaguars vs Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Picks
Updated:Nov 14, 2025 3:23 AM EST
Get ready for an exciting Saturday football showdown on November 15, 2025, as the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at JPS Field at Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA. This NCAAF regular season Week 12 game promises plenty of action and betting opportunities, broadcasted live on ESPN+ for fans and bettors alike.
Our picks favor the South Alabama Jaguars to win with a predicted score of 29-24 against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. The Jaguars carry a slight edge with a 52.2% hit rate on the point spread at -4, while the over/under market leans towards the over 49 with a predicted total score of around 52.5, boasting a 58.8% cover rate and a positive expected value of 5.9%.
Our prediction model has been profitable in recent games, winning 6 of the last 10 American Total bets, making the over bet particularly attractive for this matchup. This statistical insight helps bettors make smarter wagers by focusing on high EV markets and cover percentages. For more expert advice and detailed NCAAF picks, check out our comprehensive NCAAF picks page.
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UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
USASpread
CONSENSUS LINE
-4½ (-109)
PROJECTION
USA (29) - ULM (24)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
-1.3%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
3/9
33%
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NCAAF Fri 11/14
 #20Louisville 7-230% -1½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 #8Oregon 8-132% -24½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 Connecticut 7-322% -7½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Charlotte 1-893% +18½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 #25Cincinnati 7-218% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Navy 7-223% +10½ -114BetRivers | |||||||
 #2Indiana 10-016% -29 -112Caesars | |||||||
 #22Pittsburgh 7-270% +12½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 Ball State 4-586% +2½ -106Caesars | |||||||
 Oklahoma State 1-869% +20 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 #3Texas A&M 9-071% -17½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 Northwestern 5-445% +11½ -115BetMGM | |||||||
 LSU 5-420% -5 -110Caesars | |||||||
 Tulsa 2-740% +2½ -106FanDuel | |||||||
 Arizona State 6-312% -11 -114SugarHouse | |||||||
 Kentucky 4-5- -21½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Georgia State 1-876% +8 -112BetRivers | |||||||
 UAB 3-678% +18½ -115FanDuel | |||||||
 New Mexico 6-317% -14 -115BetRivers | |||||||
 Missouri State 6-30% -4½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 James Madison 8-170% -21 -109Caesars | |||||||
 Boston College 1-950% +17 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 Duke 5-449% -4½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 #15Miami (FL) 7-26% -14½ -113BetRivers | |||||||
 Michigan State 3-676% +7½ -114FanDuel | |||||||
 #4Alabama 8-112% -5½ -113BetRivers | |||||||
 Southern Miss 7-236% -3 -110BetMGM | |||||||
 #6Texas Tech 9-187% -23½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Louisiana-Monroe 3-667% +4½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Illinois 6-318% -15 -113BetRivers | |||||||
 #17USC 7-224% -6 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 Western Kentucky 7-20% -13 -121SugarHouse | |||||||
 Nevada 1-892% +9½ +102Caesars | |||||||
 East Carolina 6-373% -2½ -120SugarHouse | |||||||
 Tulane 7-225% -17½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 #23Tennessee 6-31% -39½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Wake Forest 6-343% -5½ -115BetRivers | |||||||
 Florida International 4-575% +3 -118BetRivers | |||||||
 Georgia Southern 4-540% -3 -114Caesars | |||||||
 Sam Houston State 1-886% +10½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Baylor 5-482% +9 -114BetRivers | |||||||
 #7Ole Miss 9-118% -11½ -105BetMGM | |||||||
 Washington 6-39% -16½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 UNLV 7-212% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 #5Georgia 8-168% -6 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Florida State 4-515% -13½ -115BetRivers | |||||||
 #1Ohio State 9-035% -31½ -105Bet365 | |||||||
 Missouri 6-327% -6½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Jacksonville State 6-375% +3½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Washington State 4-58% -7½ -115Bet365 | |||||||
 #12Brigham Young 8-111% -3 -110Caesars | |||||||
 Fresno State 6-329% -3½ -105BetMGM | |||||||
 San Diego State 7-237% -1½ -112FanDuel | |||||||
 Akron 4-735 -7 -118SugarHouse | |||||||
 Western Michigan 6-417 +2 -139SugarHouse | |||||||
 Massachusetts 0-103 +10 -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Miami (OH) 5-53 +5½ -105Bet365 | |||||||
 Central Michigan 6-438 -2½ -110BetMGM | |||||||
 Old Dominion 7-333 -9 -115BetRivers |
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