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FINAL
Nov 1, 2025 4:00 PM EDT
MSST 38 vs ARK 35
Week 10
5-8
Mississippi State
38
FINAL
35
2-10
Arkansas
ARK
-5 (-110)o67½ (+100)
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Trends

Updated:Nov 1, 2025 3:53 AM EDT

The upcoming Saturday football game on November 1, 2025, between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks in the 2025-26 NCAAF season promises an exciting matchup at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR. This game, broadcast on SEC Network and ESPN Networks, will feature Arkansas Razorbacks as slight favorites with a point spread of -4.5 and a total points line of 66.5, indicating a moderately high-scoring game.

Arkansas Razorbacks have shown a strong offensive game with an average of 490.9 total yards per game and 285.9 passing yards, while Mississippi State Bulldogs average 410.8 total yards with 246.6 passing yards. Arkansas's defense allows 435.9 total yards, while Mississippi State's defense allows 360.9 yards per game. Quarterback play is crucial, with Arkansas's starter expected to lead the offense effectively against Mississippi State's defense.

Betting trends show Arkansas Razorbacks have a home ATS record of 2-3, while Mississippi State Bulldogs have a strong ATS record of 7-1 overall. This contrast suggests that betting insights favor Mississippi State to cover the spread despite Arkansas being the favorite. The Razorbacks' run offense versus the Bulldogs' run defense, and the Bulldogs' pass rush against Arkansas's pass protection, will be key factors to watch.

Recent performances of both teams show Arkansas struggling with a 3-5 ATS record and multiple close losses, while Mississippi State holds a competitive 7-1 ATS record. The Razorbacks' high-powered offense will be tested against the Bulldogs' resilient defense. This matchup offers valuable game stats and betting insights for bettors looking to make an informed wager.

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In their last matchup on October 26, 2024, the Arkansas Razorbacks triumphed over the Mississippi State Bulldogs 58-25, showcasing a high-scoring affair that set the tone for this rivalry.

What is the point spread and total for the game?

ATS Records

Mississippi State

Arkansas

All
  • All
  • 1st half
  • 2nd half
  • 1st quarter
  • 2nd quarter
  • 3rd quarter
  • 4th quarter
8-5 (56th)Against the Spread4-8 (236th)
5-8 (183rd)Straight Up2-10 (237th)
-4.4Straight Up Units-10.0
7-6Over / Under8-4

TEAM MATCHUP

Mississippi State

Arkansas

OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
30.4Points32.9
399.2Total Yards454.8
5.9Yards Per Play7
241.2Passing Yards262.9
18.7 - 29.9 (62.5%)Completions-Attempts19.3 - 31.8 (60.6%)
8.1Yards Per Passing Play8.3
23.6Sacks-Yards Lost19.3
158Rushing Yards191.9
42.2Attempts33.8
3.7Yards Per Rush5.7
21.81st Downs23.2
9.3Passing10.9
10.1Rushing10.7
2.5Penalties1.6
6.1 / 14.7 (41.4%)3rd Down5.6 / 11.8 (47.2%)
1 / 2.2 (44.8%)4th Down0.8 / 1.4 (52.9%)
3.5 / 3.9 (88.2%)Red Zone3.7 / 4.2 (88%)
7.2 (61.5)Penalties (Yards)7.8 (67)
0.7Interceptions0.9
0.5Fumbles Lost0.8
75.6Total Plays67.9
6Kickoffs6.3
0.7Returns1.1
9.1Yards22.4
13.1Yards Per Return20.7
4.5Punts2.9
1Returns1.5
13.8Yards10.7
13.8Yards Per Return7.1

Recent Results

Mississippi State

Arkansas

Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Texas
Oct 25, 2025
L
38-45
W
+8
O
48½
at Florida
Oct 18, 2025
L
21-23
W
+9½
U
50½
at Texas A&M
Oct 4, 2025
L
9-31
L
+17½
U
57½
vs Tennessee
Sep 27, 2025
L
34-41
W
+7½
O
63½
vs Northern Illinois
Sep 20, 2025
W
38-10
W
-24
U
48½
vs Alcorn State
Sep 13, 2025
W
63-0
W
-42½
O
55½
vs Arizona State
Sep 6, 2025
W
24-20
W
+5½
U
58½
at Southern Miss
Aug 30, 2025
W
34-17
W
-14½
U
60
at Ole Miss
Nov 29, 2024
L
14-26
W
+25
U
63½
vs Missouri
Nov 23, 2024
L
20-39
L
+8½
O
57½
Game
Score
ATS
O/U
vs Auburn
Oct 25, 2025
L
24-33
L
-2½
O
55½
vs Texas A&M
Oct 18, 2025
L
42-45
W
+7½
O
58
at Tennessee
Oct 11, 2025
L
31-34
W
+10
U
68½
vs Notre Dame
Sep 27, 2025
L
13-56
L
+5½
O
63½
at Memphis
Sep 20, 2025
L
31-32
L
-7½
O
59½
at Ole Miss
Sep 13, 2025
L
35-41
L
+3½
O
60
vs Arkansas State
Sep 6, 2025
W
56-14
W
-23½
O
62
vs Alabama A&M
Aug 30, 2025
W
52-7
L
-47½
U
64½
vs Texas Tech
Dec 27, 2024
W
39-26
W
+3
O
53
at Missouri
Nov 30, 2024
L
21-28
L
+3
U
51
View Full Season Game Log

HEAD TO HEAD

Mississippi State

MSST

Arkansas

ARK
Matchup
SU
ATS
O/U
Arkansas @ Mississippi StateOct 26, 2024
58-25
ARK
-7½
ARK
55
O
Mississippi State @ ArkansasOct 21, 2023
7-3
MSST
+7
MSST
46
U
Arkansas @ Mississippi StateOct 8, 2022
17-40
MSST
-8½
MSST
55½
O
Mississippi State @ ArkansasNov 6, 2021
28-31
ARK
+4
MSST
53½
O
Arkansas @ Mississippi StateOct 3, 2020
21-14
ARK
+16½
ARK
68½
U

Mississippi State

UPCOMING SCHEDULE

Arkansas

Matchup
Date
Time
vs Georgia
tvESPN, 206, ESPN Networks
Nov 8, 2025
12:00 EST
at Missouri
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 15, 2025
19:45 EST
vs Ole Miss
tvABC, ESPN Networks
Nov 28, 2025
12:00 EST
vs Wake Forest
tvESPN, 206
Jan 2, 2026
20:00 EST
Matchup
Date
Time
at LSU
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 15, 2025
12:45 EST
at Texas
tvABC, ESPN Networks
Nov 22, 2025
15:30 EST
vs Missouri
tvSEC Network, ESPN Networks, 611
Nov 29, 2025
15:30 EST
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