Betting Trends Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

The upcoming NFL showdown on January 4, 2026, between the Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, promises to be a thrilling Sunday football event. The New England Patriots, boasting a strong 13-3 straight-up record and 11-5 against the spread, will leverage their home advantage as favorites with a -10.5 point spread. The Miami Dolphins enter as underdogs, with a 7-9 straight-up record and an 8-8 ATS record, looking to upset the Patriots in this crucial Week 18 matchup.

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa leads the Dolphins offense, facing a Patriots defense that has allowed an average of 198.3 passing yards per game. The Patriots' offense, led by quarterback Tommy DeVito, averages 252.75 passing yards and 121.75 total yards per game, tested against the Dolphins' defense which allows 184.44 passing yards on average. Both teams have shown strong defensive and offensive capabilities, but the Patriots' superior passing offense and home field advantage give them the edge.

The point spread at -10.5 in favor of the Patriots indicates expectations of a decisive win, while the total points over/under is set at 45.5, suggesting a moderately high-scoring game. Betting trends indicate the Patriots' strong performance at home and their ability to cover spreads. Recent game stats show the Patriots' resilience and ability to win close games, while the Dolphins have been inconsistent but capable of pulling off surprises.

This game will be broadcast on FOX, making it accessible for fans and bettors alike. For those looking to gain an edge, analyzing these betting trends and game insights is crucial. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge. For context, check out their last matchup on September 14, 2025, where the Patriots won 33-27.