NFL Betting Trends Today

The NFL season is a sprint, not a marathon. However, that doesn’t mean that there isn’t ebbs and flows to the year. Some teams get off to hot starts and fizzle out, while others don’t round into form until the stretch run.

With that in mind, it’s important to look at their recent records in terms of moneylines and point spreads. With moneylines, you see their overall win/loss record, while with spreads, you can see if they have been over- or undervalued by oddsmakers.

On this page, you can use our grid to filter results for spreads, moneylines, and totals. We’ll also provide you with tips on how to approach these bet types, as well as a detailed description of how our OddsTrader Turbo and BetStation tools can help you be profitable in your NFL betting venture.

Moneyline Trends and Strategies

Click “Money” from the dropdown menu to view recent and season-long moneyline trends for all 32 NFL teams. The teams are ranked in order of moneyline records for the entire season. Beneath each team, you’ll find a green “W” or red “L” correlating with the team’s last five games.

You’ll also find a measure of how many units you would be up or down by betting a team’s moneyline for the entire season, plus home and away records.

You can use this information effectively by seeing each team’s recent performance and how they fare at home vs on the road. You can also see if there have been overvalued teams in terms of units won or lost. 

For example, early last season, with the Cowboys projected as a playoff team, they were among the least profitable teams, since they consistently underperformed with surprising losses.

Point Spread Trends and Strategies

Point spreads are among the most popular NFL bets to make since you get to choose if a team can hit the assigned margin of victory. It gives bettors a chance to take heavy favorites that they may have avoided on the moneyline due to inflated pricing. 

For example, if the Chiefs are home against the Raiders, their moneyline would be about -500, so you would have to risk $50 just to win $10. That’s where the spread is preferred, since you can take Kansas City to win by 10+ points while only risking $11 to win $10.

The best way to use our grid for NFL spread betting is to see which teams have failed to meet expectations or have consistently overperformed the market. The way to make money wagering on NFL spreads is by determining which teams are better than the market perception.

For example, last year, the Minnesota Vikings were projected as a seven or eight-win team. But they got off to a roaring start, and the market continued to undervalue them, yet they continued to win. Recognizing these discrepancies gives you an edge.

Over/Under Trends and Strategies

Over/under bets, also known as totals, are another way to bet on NFL games. 

To be effective in this market, you need to consider the projected game script. Does it look like a potential blowout, where the favorite can ease up late in the game and just run out the clock? Are these two fast-paced teams that can fly over the number, even though it’s already a high bar? Is there inclement weather in the forecast, which could suppress scoring?

Beyond these factors, you should use our OddsTrader grid to see the team’s over/under record. This gives more context than just the highest or lowest scoring teams. For example, a high-scoring team may consistently go under because oddsmakers are setting the bar too high with the total.

You can also look at halves and quarters to see if there are teams that tend to score at a higher rate in the early or later stages of the game. This could be useful in live betting.

Track NFL Bets with OddsTrader Turbo

Shop around for the best price using our OddsTrader Grid. Consult with our expert NFL picks for more guidance on your point spread, over/under, or moneyline selection.

Try out a 30-day free trial at OddsTrader Turbo, where you can get access to our five-star betting picks with an accuracy of over 73%!

Additionally, we have a chatbot that you can prompt for useful insights. Here are some examples:

• Which are the highest-scoring teams in the second half?
• Who tends to start off slow in the first quarter?
• What have been the highest over/unders for this season?