Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

The NHL showdown between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Tampa Bay Lightning is set for February 25, 2026, at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL. This exciting matchup promises to deliver thrilling hockey as both teams battle in the 2025-26 NHL season. The game will be broadcast on TNT, TruTV, and HBO Max, offering fans plenty of ways to catch the action live.

Looking at recent performances, Tampa Bay Lightning boast a strong powerplay percentage of 14.4% and a penalty kill percentage of 83.6%, while Toronto Maple Leafs show a powerplay of 7.05% and a penalty kill of 92.95%. At 5-on-5 play, Tampa Bay has a slight edge with 53.64% compared to Toronto's 51.75%. These sports insights suggest a dynamic game where special teams will play a critical role.

Starting goalies will be pivotal, with Tampa Bay’s netminder expected to start, providing stability despite minor injury concerns that do not appear to sideline him. Toronto’s goalie has shown solid performances recently, adding to the intrigue. Both teams have demonstrated solid shooting percentages and defensive efforts; Tampa Bay averages 28.15 shots per game with 3.55 goals, while Toronto averages 27.31 shots and 3.28 goals per game.

The game is listed with a close odds spread and a total points line around 6.5, indicating a potentially tight contest with moderate scoring. Bettors can leverage these betting trends and game stats to make smart wagers. The Maple Leafs have a mixed ATS record on the road, while the Lightning have a strong home record, which can influence betting decisions. You can check the detailed NHL standings and recent outcomes for more context on the teams’ performances.

In their last matchup on December 8, 2025, the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0, a game that highlighted Toronto’s defensive prowess and efficient offense. You can review that encounter for deeper betting insights in our detailed recap.

For the best odds available today, Tampa Bay is favored by a narrow margin, and you can find competitive lines at trusted sportsbooks like SugarHouse. Harness these betting insights and trends to place your wagers confidently on this thrilling NHL matchup.