Today’s 16-game slate features many exciting games, including an interleague matchup between the Reds and Angels. Our computer model has shown us where the value is in this matchup.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Reds ML (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
Saturday, April 20, 2024 – 06:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park
The AI Model believes the Reds will win 5-4 over the Angels in tonight’s second game of the series. This makes sense, as the Reds are above .500, and the Angels are below .500 heading into this series.
Reds’ Walk Workmanship
The Cincinnati Reds haven’t shown much power against lefties since last season. The projected lineup has instead hit a .129 ISO and wOBA of .298, which isn’t very good. However, the top of the Reds’ lineup has walked at a very high rate against lefties. Six batters walk at least 8.2% of the time against lefties.
The Reds could do damage against Patrick Sandoval of the Angels in that area. Sandoval is a lefty who limits power, but he has also walked 11% of batters this season.
No Worries For Graham Ashcraft
The Reds will pitch Graham Ashcraft. He’s a righty who has a 2-1 record with a 4.15 ERA. Ashcraft isn’t elite, but he’s been terrific against right-handed batters this year.
He’s held righties to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .167, along with 56% of ground balls induced.
The Pick
The Angels should have at least six righties in the lineup against Ashcraft and the Reds. That’s not ideal when the Ashcraft pitching extremely well against righties this season.
Therefore, we’ll back the Reds at -130. The AI Model knows.
MLB Pick: Reds ML (-130) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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