There are plenty of fun matchups in the MLB today! In one of those matchups, our computer model has found some intriguing value in the Phillies game that you won’t want to miss.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Over 7.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, April 20, 2024 – 06:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park
The AI Model suggests the Phillies and White Sox will combine for nine runs in today’s matchup. With the Phillies batting against Michael Soroka, it’s hard to deny the value of the Over 7.5. Â
The Strength of the Phillies
The Phillies will face Michael Soroka of the White Sox. Soroka is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .224 ISO and a wOBA of .397 to his first 89 batters faced this season.
Soroka has struggled against both sides of the plate, walking more batters than he’s struck out this season. Lefties have even walked 21.3% of the time while striking out just 10.6% of the time.
Meanwhile, the Phillies have six batters in the lineup that have hit an ISO of at least .172 against righties since last season.
Can the White Sox at Least Score a Couple of Runs?
The White Sox have hit a .130 ISO and wOBA of .283 against righties since last season. It’s unlikely they will score at a high rate against Zack Wheeler of the Phillies. However, the White Sox’s projected lineup has only struck out 19.5% of the time against righties since last season.
Chicago should also have more lefties than righties in the lineup going up against Wheeler, who has still allowed a .200 ISO and wOBA of .351 to his first 49 lefties this season.
The Pick
While the Phillies will do most of the scoring, the White Sox have the potential to add a couple of runs today as well. The Phillies could ultimately put up eight runs themselves, so I’m really liking this play from the AI Model of Over 7.5.
MLB Pick: Over 7.5 (-110) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
