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The showdown on October 17, 2025, features the Milwaukee Brewers vs L.A. Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA, as Game 4 of the MLB Division Series opens on TBS and TruTV. Milwaukee aims to stave off elimination while the Dodgers look to close out the series with momentum from leading 3-0.
Los Angeles is expected to hand the ball to a right-handed ace, and Milwaukee’s lineup has hit just .230 against right-handed pitching this postseason. Conversely, the Dodgers have enjoyed success versus righties, batting .265 over their last 10 games. Battling at Dodger Stadium, home-field comfort and righty-on-righty edge lean toward L.A.
Our model projects a final score of 4–3 in favor of the Dodgers, but Milwaukee +1.5 stands out with a 63.95% coverage probability and +7.4% EV. The American total Under 8 also offers value, carrying a 54.2% hit rate and +0.7% EV. Our American totals model has been profitable in the last 10 games, winning 6 of them, which underscores the appeal of the Under market.
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SEAB. Miller (R) 95-7676% -105BetMGM | |||||||
LADS. Ohtani (R) 101-700% -190Caesars |
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