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FINAL
Nov 21, 2025 9:30 PM EST
DEN 112 vs HOU 109
HOU
-3 (-117)o234 (-108)
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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Picks
Updated:Nov 21, 2025 1:19 AM EST
The upcoming NBA clash on November 22, 2025, between the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets promises to be a thrilling encounter at Toyota Center in Houston, TX. Fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating this game, which will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video. Our picks for this game are based on a solid prediction model that has shown profitable results in recent matchups, especially in the 2-way moneyline market with a hit rate of 56.6% and an expected value (EV) of -0.7% favoring Houston. The predicted final score is Houston Rockets 119, Denver Nuggets 117, with Houston favored by 2 points on the spread. This prediction aligns well with our recent success in picking winners and covers, making it a smart betting choice for NBA enthusiasts.
Our model's recent performance shows a strong track record, particularly in the moneyline bets where Houston has won 6 out of the last 10 games, offering bettors a reliable edge. Additionally, the point spread market hit rate sits just above 50%, indicating balanced opportunities for both sides. Bettors should consider these insights when placing their bets, and can find more NBA picks and predictions to enhance their betting strategy on our dedicated NBA picks page.
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UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
HOUSpread
CONSENSUS LINE
-2½ (-114)
PROJECTION
HOU (119) - DEN (116)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
-2.1%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
9/13
69%
NBA
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NBATue 04/21
 Boston 57-2629% -14 -110BetAnything | |||||||
 San Antonio 63-2123% -11 -110BetOnline | |||||||
 L.A. Lakers 54-2930% +5 -102Bet105 | |||||||
 Detroit 60-2359% -9½ -107Bet105 | |||||||
 Oklahoma City 65-1819% -16½ -115Bet105 | |||||||
 Atlanta 47-37100% +1 -110Heritage | |||||||
 Toronto 46-3850% +3½ -115Bet105 | |||||||
 Minnesota 50-3425% +2 -110Bookmaker |
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