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FINAL
Feb 28, 2026 3:30 PM EST
HOU 105 vs MIA 115
HOU
-2½ (-110)o227 (-110)
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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Picks and Predictions
Updated:Feb 28, 2026 1:11 AM EST
The upcoming NBA showdown between the Houston Rockets and Miami Heat is set to tip off on February 28, 2026, at the Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. This exciting match will be broadcasted on Amazon Prime Video, offering fans and bettors alike a prime viewing opportunity.
Our expert picks suggest a tight game with the Houston Rockets narrowly edging out the Miami Heat with a predicted score of 113 to 112. The Rockets are favored by 3 points, but Miami carries a strong 57.0% hit rate on the +4 point spread, indicating a solid chance to cover.
Recent betting tips reveal that while Houston has performed well overall, Miami's point spread bets have a higher expected value (EV) of 4.6%, making the Heat +4 a compelling option for bettors seeking value. Our prediction model has been profitable in the last 10 games, winning 6 of them, particularly excelling in 2-way markets with a 55.2% coverage percentage.
For those looking to make informed bets, these stats highlight the importance of considering both the point spread and moneyline markets. Betting with insights from our picks can help maximize your chances of success. To explore more expert analysis, check out our comprehensive NBA picks and predictions page.
Don’t miss out on placing your bets with confidence. The best odds available today for Houston is - at SugarHouse, and for Miami - at SugarHouse.
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
MIASpread
CONSENSUS LINE
+2½ (-110)
PROJECTION
MIA (112) - HOU (114)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+3.8%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
33/60
55%
NBA
Spread
Game
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NBATue 04/21
 Boston 57-2630% -14 -110BetAnything | |||||||
 San Antonio 63-2122% -11 -110BetOnline | |||||||
 L.A. Lakers 54-2928% +5 -103Bet105 | |||||||
 Detroit 60-2358% -9½ -107Bet105 | |||||||
 Oklahoma City 65-1816% -16½ -115Bet105 | |||||||
 Atlanta 47-37100% +1 -110Heritage | |||||||
 Toronto 46-3850% +3½ -115Bet105 | |||||||
 Minnesota 50-340% +2 -115Bookmaker |
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