Top NBA Player Props Today

Find the best NBA player props for tonight’s action by using our player props grid. Compare props with the highest expected value, cover probability, and more. Take the guesswork out of sports betting and start winning today. 

Today’s Free NBA Player Props

Every day during the season, our NBA betting experts will identify some of the best player prop bets available.

There are four NBA games on Thursday’s schedule, including Clippers @ Rockets and Celtics @ Bucks. Let’s dive into the top player props for today.

James Harden: Over 23.5 Points (+100) @ Rockets

Harden is 36 and not quite the player he used to be, but he’s done a heck of a job of turning back the clock with the Clippers this season. He’s averaging 26.8 points and 8.3 assists per game, serving as an offensive hub and producing his highest scoring output since 2019-20.

Houston is strong defensively, ranking fifth in efficiency, and Amen Thompson is a significant threat along the perimeter. Even still, this number seems too low for Harden, who’s scored 24-plus points in 14 out of 23 appearances this year.

Derik Queen: Over 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-107) vs. Trail Blazers

Rookie big Derik Queen has come into his own in a short amount of time with the Pelicans. Earlier this week, he became one of the youngest players in NBA history to produce a 30-point triple-double, finishing with 33/10/10 and three blocks in a loss to the Spurs.

Since taking on a larger role in mid-November, Queen has averaged 15.3 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 5.2 assists over 28.2 minutes per game. That stretch started with a 26/7/4 outing against the Trail Blazers, who he’ll take on again this evening. I like the over at 27.5 PRA.

Using the NBA Player Props Grid

From left to right, you’ll find sections for the prop, expected value, cover probability, bet rating, and the best line available. Let’s quickly break down what these mean.

• Prop: This is the suggested bet. It lists the player name, the prop, and the matchup, complete with date, time, and venue. 
• Expected Value: This is what the grid is sorted by. This number is the difference between the true probability of the event happening and the sportsbook’s odds. 
• Cover Probability: The likelihood of the player prop resulting in a win.
• Bet Rating: Our ranking of the value of the player prop. Five-star picks are the best and most valuable picks. 
• Best Line: The best odds currently available for the player prop. Our odds grid constantly updates to find the best NBA player prop betting lines. 

You’ll also find three dropdown menus above the grid. These allow you to sort by matchup, prop type, and bet rating, respectively. Use these to narrow down your search and find the best player prop available for your specified terms. 

Get Free NBA Prop Predictions

The vast majority of our NBA player prop predictions are completely free. Our computer model has done the research and identified discrepancies between posted odds and the actual probability of each event. When there’s an opportunity for bettors to capitalize, we find it and tell you exactly how to get the best odds.

OddsTrader doesn’t limit the types of player props you can bet on, either. Our expert picks and predictions are available for over 50 different markets, ranging from simple points props to first-quarter assists. If it’s offered by a sportsbook, there’s a good chance we have a free pick available for it.  

Frequently Asked Questions

There are lots of small details that go into NBA player prop betting. If you still have some questions, read our answers to some common FAQs below. 

What are PRA prop bets?

You might see a player prop abbreviated as PRA. This stands for points, rebounds, and assists and is a combination of the three. To determine whether or not you win this type of bet, you’ll need to add up the player’s points, rebounds, and assists and see if they went over or under the projected total. 

What happens if a player gets injured or can’t finish a game?

If a player is forced to exit a game early, sportsbooks will often void the pick, meaning it doesn’t count as a win or loss. Instead, you’ll simply get your wager returned to you. If the player hits the over on their prop before exiting the game, it will still be graded as a win. 

Do NBA player props count overtime?

Unless otherwise noted, NBA player props do include overtime. This can be good or bad depending on whether you bet the over or under on a player prop. 

If you bet the over and a player doesn’t hit the mark until overtime, it’ll still count as a win for you. However, if you bet the under and a player goes over that mark in overtime, it’ll still count as a loss even though they finished regulation with the under.