New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The upcoming NFL Week 18 game today features the New Orleans Saints visiting the Atlanta Falcons at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. This Sunday football matchup on January 4, 2026, promises an exciting showdown as both teams look to finish their season strong. The Falcons, playing at home, have a slight advantage with a 7-9 straight-up record and a 9-7 record against the spread this season, while the Saints hold a 6-10 straight-up record and an 8-8 ATS record.

Starting quarterbacks are key to this game’s betting trends. Atlanta is expected to start their QB Easton Stick, who brings a solid passing offense that averages around 210 passing yards per game, facing a Saints defense allowing approximately 180 passing yards. The Saints will counter with Spencer Rattler, whose offense averages 218 passing yards, but will face a Falcons defense that is strong against the pass, allowing just over 198 yards per game. This QB matchup could influence the game pace and scoring.

When comparing offenses and defenses, the Falcons have a slight edge in rushing yards with 130 yards per game versus the Saints' 93 yards. On defense, the Saints excel in run defense, allowing only 125 rushing yards per game, slightly better than the Falcons' 127 yards allowed. Pass protection and rush are fairly balanced, but the Falcons’ pass rush could pressure the Saints’ QB more effectively. The betting line currently favors the Falcons by 3.5 points with a total points over/under of 44, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.

Key players like Bijan Robinson for the Falcons and Alvin Kamara (currently out) for the Saints will impact the ground game. Injuries to key defensive players on both sides could also sway the betting trends. The Falcons’ recent form, including a win against the Saints in their last meeting on November 23, 2025, where Atlanta won 24-10, adds to their confidence. Check out the details of that game in their last matchup for more insights.

With the game airing on FOX, bettors have a great opportunity to watch the action live and leverage these betting insights to place informed wagers. The Falcons’ home advantage, combined with their stronger ATS record and the 3.5 point spread, makes them a compelling best bet. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.