New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

The upcoming NFL showdown on January 4, 2026, features the New Orleans Saints visiting the Atlanta Falcons at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. This game promises exciting Sunday football action, broadcast on FOX, with both teams eager to make a mark in Week 18 of the 2025-26 season. The Falcons, favored by 3.5 points with an over/under set at 43.5, have demonstrated a strong offensive output, averaging 210.25 passing yards and 130.56 rushing yards per game. Their pass protection has been solid, though they face a stout Saints pass rush that has averaged 2.81 sacks per game this season.

Atlanta's starting quarterback is Michael Penix Jr., who has shown resilience and skill, while the Saints are likely to start Tyler Shough, who recently had full participation in practice despite a questionable tag, suggesting he's ready to play. The Saints have a balanced offensive attack but have struggled slightly in pass defense, giving up an average of 218.5 passing yards per game. The Falcons' pass offense, ranked higher in yards per play, could capitalize on this mismatch.

Betting trends point to Atlanta's 9-7-0 ATS record and New Orleans' 8-8-0 ATS record, with the Falcons showing a 3-4 home ATS record and Saints a 5-3 away ATS record. The Falcons' recent form includes a close win over the Los Angeles Rams and a strong performance against the Arizona Cardinals, while the Saints have won their last three games, including a solid victory against the Tennessee Titans.

Key injuries include several questionable players for the Falcons, such as cornerback A.J. Terrell Jr. and tight end Kyle Pitts Sr., which could impact their defensive and offensive schemes. The Saints are missing star running back Alvin Kamara, which may affect their ground game. These factors, along with the point spread and total points, provide valuable betting insights for bettors aiming to make informed wagers.

For those looking to dive deeper, the last matchup on November 23, 2025 where the Falcons won 24-10 offers a useful comparison. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.