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Dec 25, 2025 8:15 PM EST
Week 17
DEN
-13½ (-110)o36½ (-110)
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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks
Updated:Dec 25, 2025 1:26 AM EST
The upcoming NFL matchup on December 25, 2025, features the Denver Broncos taking on the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. This thrilling Thursday night football game promises plenty of action and betting excitement. Fans can catch all the live action on Amazon Prime Video.
Our picks and predictions favor the Denver Broncos to win with a predicted score of 25-11, covering the spread at Denver -13. Despite the Chiefs being the home team, our model shows a strong edge for the Broncos, especially in the point spread market which has a profitable hit rate. Our betting tips highlight the under 40.5 total points market, which has a high expected value (EV) of 11.0% and a hit rate of 64.0%, suggesting a lower-scoring game.
The Broncos vs Chiefs NFL picks page offers detailed insights and expert analysis for bettors looking to make informed wagers. Our prediction model has been profitable in the last 10 games, especially in the point spread and totals markets, providing bettors with a smart way to approach Thursday night football. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
DENSpread
CONSENSUS LINE
-13½ (-110)
PROJECTION
KC (11) - DEN (25)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
-3.1%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
6/15
40%
OTHER BETS
Thu 12/25 8:15 PMDEN @ KC
Rashee RiceAnytime Touchdown Scorer
EV
+21.2%
+21.2%
Bo NixPassing + Rushing Yards
EV
+17.1%
+17.1%
Xavier WorthyPlayer to score first touchdown
EV
+16.0%
+16.0%
Jaleel McLaughlinPlayer Longest Rush
EV
+13.7%
+13.7%
RJ HarveyRushing + Receiving Yards
EV
+13.3%
+13.3%
Rashee RicePlayer to score first touchdown
EV
+13.1%
+13.1%
Troy FranklinPlayer Longest Reception
EV
+11.5%
+11.5%
Isiah PachecoPlayer Longest Rush
EV
+11.1%
+11.1%
Xavier WorthyPlayer Longest Reception
EV
+9.4%
+9.4%
RJ HarveyRushing Yards
EV
+8.7%
+8.7%
NFL
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NFLWeek 17
 Washington 4-1172% +9½ -117Caesars | |||||||
 Minnesota 7-877% +7½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Kansas City 6-946% +13½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 L.A. Chargers 11-480% -1½ -115Caesars | |||||||
 Green Bay 9-5-167% -3 -115Bet365 | |||||||
 Cincinnati 5-1060% -7 -113BetRivers | |||||||
 Carolina 8-783% +7½ -120FanDuel | |||||||
 Cleveland 3-1241% +3 -104Caesars | |||||||
 Tennessee 3-1268% +3 -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Miami 6-997% +5½ -109Caesars | |||||||
 Indianapolis 8-724% +6½ -105BetMGM | |||||||
 N.Y. Jets 3-1226% +13½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Las Vegas 2-1386% +1½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Buffalo 11-419% -1 -109Caesars | |||||||
 San Francisco 11-423% -3 -114Caesars | |||||||
 Atlanta 6-988% +8½ -118FanDuel |
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