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Sunday football gets a spotlight in Kansas City as the Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs meet on October 19, 2025, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Check out our NFL picks page for more game-day insights.
Our picks favor the Kansas City Chiefs to win 28-18 and cover the -6.5 spread. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the high-octane Chiefs offense average over 30 PPG at home, while the Raiders have been held under 20 points in three of their last five road games. Kansas City has covered six of their last ten home matchups, and our point spread model boasts a 60% hit rate with a +2.5 average EV over its last ten spread picks, cementing this as a strong bet.
In predictions for the total, we project roughly 45 points, making the under 45.5 an appealing, high-EV market. Both teams’ defenses rank in the top half of the NFL in pressure rates, suppressing scoring. The under carries a 51.7% hit rate and +0.4 EV in our American Total model, reinforcing its consistency. Using these metrics, bettors can craft balanced wagers with confidence.
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![]() Cincinnati 2-446% +5½ -104FanDuel | |||||||
Jacksonville 4-278% +3 -113BetRivers | |||||||
![]() Kansas City 3-340% -11½ -115FanDuel | |||||||
Cleveland 1-578% -2½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
![]() Tennessee 1-592% +7 -108BetRivers | |||||||
![]() Chicago 3-260% -4½ -108Caesars | |||||||
Minnesota 3-283% +2½ -105BetRivers | |||||||
![]() N.Y. Jets 0-664% +2 -109BetRivers | |||||||
![]() L.A. Chargers 4-267% -1½ -108FanDuel | |||||||
Denver 4-220% -7 -105Bet365 | |||||||
Dallas 2-3-133% +2½ -107BetRivers | |||||||
Arizona 2-486% +6½ -108BetRivers | |||||||
![]() San Francisco 4-240% -3 -105Bet365 | |||||||
Detroit 4-218% -4½ -109BetRivers | |||||||
Seattle 4-218% -3½ -105BetMGM |
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