Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Betting Trends

The upcoming NFL showdown on January 4, 2026, features the Miami Dolphins visiting the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. This Week 18 clash promises an intense battle as both teams look to solidify their playoff positions. The Patriots, boasting a strong 13-3 straight-up record and 11-5 against the spread, hold home advantage, while the Dolphins come in with a balanced 7-9 straight-up and 8-8 ATS record.

Starting quarterbacks Tommy DeVito for the Patriots and Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins will be crucial to the game's outcome. DeVito's ability to protect the ball and execute under pressure contrasts with Tagovailoa's dynamic playmaking. The Patriots' offense averages 374.5 total yards with a solid pass offense of 252.75 yards, facing a Dolphins defense that allows 198.31 passing yards on average. Miami's offense, meanwhile, puts up 308.25 yards per game, challenged by New England's defense limiting opponents to 302.44 yards.

Key matchup factors include the Patriots' strong pass protection against Miami's aggressive pass rush and the Dolphins' run offense versus New England's run defense. Betting trends suggest a Patriots favorite with a -11.5 point spread and an over/under set at 45.5 points, indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game. The game will be broadcast on FOX, providing fans and bettors alike with access to live action and expert commentary.

Recent form favors New England, with a dominant 42-10 win over the Jets, while Miami narrowly beat Tampa Bay 20-17. Injury updates show some questionable statuses for Miami's wide receiver Jaylen Waddle and linebacker Chop Robinson, while New England's tight end Hunter Henry is also questionable but likely to play. These factors will influence betting insights and stats as bettors analyze player availability and team dynamics.

For those looking to capitalize on this exciting matchup, the best odds for the Patriots at -11.5 and the Dolphins at +11.5 are available at Caesars. The over/under at 45.5 points also offers intriguing betting opportunities. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge. Check out their last matchup on September 14, 2025, where the Patriots won 33-27 for additional context.