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FINAL
Jan 4, 2026 4:25 PM EST
MIA 10 vs NE 38
Week 18
NE
-14 (-125)o43½ (-110)
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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Picks
Updated:Jan 4, 2026 1:33 AM EST
The upcoming NFL showdown on January 4, 2026, features the Miami Dolphins visiting the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. This game promises to be a thrilling conclusion to the regular season's Week 18, with both teams looking to secure a strong finish.
Our expert picks for the Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots game include a prediction of a 27-18 victory in favor of the Patriots, who are favored by 12 points on the spread. The total points are expected to hover around 45.5, with a slight lean towards the under based on recent trends.
Betting insights reveal that the Patriots have a strong 78.8% coverage percentage on moneyline bets in recent games, while the Dolphins have shown moderate value on the spread with a 56.6% hit rate and a positive EV of 3.7%. Our prediction model has been profitable over the last 10 games, especially in point spread markets, where the hit rate and EV remain promising.
Fans can catch this Sunday football game on FOX, adding to the excitement of the event. For those looking to make smart wagers, these statistics and predictions provide a valuable edge. Explore more NFL picks and analysis at NFL picks and predictions.
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UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
MIASpread
CONSENSUS LINE
+14½ (-110)
PROJECTION
NE (28) - MIA (17)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+5.1%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
8/16
50%
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