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FINAL OT
Jan 3, 2026 7:00 PM EST
TOR 3 vs NYI 4
TOR
-114o5½ (-116)
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs N.Y. Islanders Picks
Updated:Jan 3, 2026 1:40 AM EST
The upcoming NHL game on January 4, 2026, features the Toronto Maple Leafs facing off against the New York Islanders at UBS Arena in Belmont Park, NY. This exciting match-up is part of the 2025-26 NHL season and will be broadcast on NHL Network, ESPN+, and MSGSN, making it accessible for fans and bettors alike.
Our expert picks for this Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders game predict a close contest with the Islanders edging out the Maple Leafs 4-3. The Islanders hold a strong 63.6% hit rate on 2-way betting markets (including overtime and penalties) with an impressive EV of 11.2%, while the Maple Leafs show a 36.4% hit rate and a negative EV of -14.8%. This suggests a favorable betting edge on the Islanders' side for this game.
Both teams have contrasting powerplay and penalty kill percentages, which will be crucial in this game. The Islanders' powerplay is effective and their penalty kill solid, which could tilt the game in their favor. The Maple Leafs, while competitive, have shown less consistency in these areas recently. Understanding these stats can help bettors make informed decisions and find value in their bets.
Our prediction model has been profitable in recent games, winning 6 of the last 10 bets in similar 2-way markets, demonstrating a strong track record. For more detailed NHL picks and predictions, check out our NHL picks and predictions page.
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UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Puck Line
Money
Total
NYIMoney
CONSENSUS LINE
-105
PROJECTION
NYI (4) - TOR (3)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+13.5%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
22/41
54%
NHL
Money
Game
- Game
- 1P
- 2P
- 3P
NHLWed 04/22
 Philadelphia 45-3975% -112Bet105 | |||||||
 Minnesota 47-3782% -122BetOnline | |||||||
 Edmonton 42-41100% -178Bet105 | |||||||
 Boston 44-38-2100% -106Heritage | |||||||
 Ottawa 44-40- -119Heritage | |||||||
 Los Angeles 34-49-1- +138Bet105 | |||||||
 Montreal 48-35-1- +103Heritage | |||||||
 Utah 44-40- +102Bet105 |
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