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FINAL
Jan 10, 2026 7:00 PM EST
TB 7 vs PHI 2
TB
-178o6 (+104)
NBCS-PH, ESPN+, The SpotBETCAST
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks
Updated:Jan 10, 2026 1:12 AM EST
Get ready for an exciting NHL matchup on January 11, 2026, as the Tampa Bay Lightning face off against the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA. This game promises intense action as both teams look to assert dominance in the 2025-26 NHL season.
Our expert picks highlight a close contest, predicting a 4-3 victory for the Flyers. Philadelphia boasts a strong powerplay percentage and penalty kill efficiency, giving them a slight edge over the Lightning. Tampa Bay's 5-on-5 play remains competitive but trails the Flyers, which could influence key moments in the game.
Recent results indicate our prediction model has been profitable, with a notable hit rate and positive EV in 2way betting markets over the last 10 games. This consistency offers bettors confidence when considering these picks and betting tips for today's game.
The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-PH, ESPN+, and The Spot, so fans and bettors alike can catch every thrilling moment. For more detailed insights and additional NHL picks, be sure to check out our comprehensive NHL picks and predictions page.
Considering the stats and our expert analysis, the best bet is on the Philadelphia Flyers to cover the spread and secure a narrow win. The Flyers’ superior special teams play and home-ice advantage at Xfinity Mobile Arena position them well to come out on top in this Saturday night showdown.
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Puck Line
Money
Total
PHIMoney
CONSENSUS LINE
156
PROJECTION
PHI (4) - TB (3)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+16.7%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
22/42
52%
NHL
Money
Game
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- 1P
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NHLWed 04/22
 Philadelphia 45-3975% -112Bet105 | |||||||
 Minnesota 47-3782% -122BetOnline | |||||||
 Edmonton 42-41100% -178Bet105 | |||||||
 Boston 44-38-2100% -106Heritage | |||||||
 Ottawa 44-40- -119Heritage | |||||||
 Los Angeles 34-49-1- +138Bet105 | |||||||
 Montreal 48-35-1- +103Heritage | |||||||
 Utah 44-40- +102Bet105 |
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