Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks

The upcoming NHL matchup on December 23, 2025, between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON promises to be a thrilling contest. This game is a must-watch for hockey fans and bettors alike, airing on TNT, TruTV, and HBO Max. Our expert picks and betting tips will help you make informed wagers on this exciting encounter.

Toronto Maple Leafs are predicted to win with a score of 4 to 3 over the Pittsburgh Penguins, with a -5.0% EV on the moneyline indicating a strong betting value. The Penguins, meanwhile, hold a 48.5% hit rate in the 2-way market, while the Maple Leafs have a 51.5% hit rate, showing a slight edge for Toronto. Our prediction model has been profitable in the last 10 games, winning 6 of them, especially in 2-way market bets which offer a high EV and cover percentage.

Comparing team stats, the Maple Leafs have a better powerplay percentage and penalty kill percentage than the Penguins, which could be decisive in this tightly matched game. The 5-on-5 percentages also favor Toronto, pointing to their strength in even-strength situations. These factors are crucial for bettors looking to place smart bets and parlays on this NHL game.

For more insights and detailed NHL picks, check out our comprehensive league predictions on the NHL picks page. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.