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FINAL
Mar 7, 2026 7:00 PM EST
TB 5 vs TOR 2
TB
-195o6½ (-101)
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks
Updated:Mar 7, 2026 1:25 AM EST
The upcoming NHL game between Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs is scheduled for March 7, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Broadcast on NHL Network, ESPN+, and The Spot, this matchup offers valuable betting insights. Tampa Bay's powerplay percentage stands at 53.1% with an EV of -9.6%, while Toronto's is 46.9% with a positive EV of 7.7%. Toronto's penalty kill and 5-on-5 percentages slightly outperform Tampa Bay's, impacting gameplay dynamics. Our picks favor Tampa Bay 4 to 2 against Toronto, aligning with profitable 2way markets that have a 53.1% hit rate over the last 10 games. For more detailed analysis, visit our NHL picks page NHL Picks and Predictions.
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Puck Line
Money
Total
TORMoney
CONSENSUS LINE
175
PROJECTION
TOR (2) - TB (4)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+12.2%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
27/63
43%
NHL
Money
Game
- Game
- 1P
- 2P
- 3P
NHLWed 04/22
 Philadelphia 45-3975% -112Bet105 | |||||||
 Minnesota 47-3782% -122BetOnline | |||||||
 Edmonton 42-41100% -178Bet105 | |||||||
 Boston 44-38-2100% -106Heritage | |||||||
 Ottawa 44-40- -119Heritage | |||||||
 Los Angeles 34-49-1- +138Bet105 | |||||||
 Montreal 48-35-1- +103Heritage | |||||||
 Utah 44-40- +102Bet105 |
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