With 15 games on the MLB slate, there’s plenty of value on the MLB betting board tonight. I used the AI Model to help find the three player props for tonight’s slate. Let’s get right to it!
The Picks
- Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Hits (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Hits (+145) at Bet365
- Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits (+120) at Bet365
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Friday, May 16, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
The AI Model believes Mickey Moniak will earn .499 hits tonight. However, his under .5 hits has odds of +110. We love a good plus-money bet using the AI Model! These have been bangers lately!
Corbin Burnes Is Getting Better
Mickey Moniak and the Colorado Rockies will take on Corbin Burnes of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Burnes has allowed a .326 wOBA to his first 89 lefties. However, he’s limited his last 46 lefties to a .098 ISO with 56.2% of ground balls and only 12.5% of fly balls allowed to lefties.
Moniak is a lefty who has hit a .275 wOBA against righties in the last 30 days. He’s also added only a 5.5% barrel percentage against righties during the previous 30 days and has hit a .267 BABIP.
Burnes has been very good against lefties in producing some easy outs. Let’s take Moniak to earn below .5 hits in tonight’s game against the Diamondbacks. Burnes is finally settling in with the Diamondbacks and is pitching much better than when he began the season.
MLB Pick: Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Hits (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, May 16, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
The AI Model thinks Michael Conforto will add .429 hits tonight for the Dodgers. Meanwhile, his prop is currently at .5, with the under sitting at +145 MLB odds. Here’s another under hits bet with insane plus-money odds that we’ll want to rock with.
Don’t Even Look At Yesterday
The Los Angeles Dodgers scored 19 runs against the Athletics yesterday, and Michael Conforto contributed.
Still, he’s hit a .016 ISO and wOBA of .181 against his last 71 righties. He’s also struck out 26.8% of the time against righties in the previous month.
He’s set to take on Jack Kochanowicz of the Angels. While he’s struggled a little against lefties, Kochanowicz still holds his first 101 lefties to only 18.8% of line drives. He’s not going to earn a heavy dosage of strikeouts but should be able to limit hard contact from Conforto tonight.
After all, Conforto has earned 18.6% of line drives against righties and nearly 49% of ground balls. That’s why his BABIP is currently at .163. Fade Conforto tonight and take his under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Michael Conforto Under 0.5 Hits (+145) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants
Friday, May 14, 2025 – 10:15 PM EDT at Oracle Park
Our AI Model predicts Patrick Bailey will add .284 total bases tonight. However, his total bases prop is at under .5 (+120) via Bet365. Let’s keep hitting these types of bets! It’s been working!
Patrick Bailey Has Struggled Against Lefties
The Giants will battle JP Sears of the Athletics, a left-handed pitcher who has held his first 182 batters to a .140 ISO and a wOBA of .278.
He’ll take on a Giants lineup that hasn’t performed very well against lefties. That includes Patrick Bailey, who has earned a .000 ISO and wOBA of .137 against his last 18 lefties.
Bailey is a switch-hitter who has also added just 38.5% of hard contact from the right side over the last 30 days. With such low hard contact, he’s added a .154 BABIP in the previous 30 days, batting from the right side. This isn’t an ideal spot for Bailey.
The AI Model loves Bailey to go Under .5 total bases. His matchup against Sears looks very difficult, so the AI Model is certainly on to something.
MLB Pick: Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits (+120) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
