It’s the start of a new week, which also means it’s the start of many different matchups. After looking over each matchup, using the AI Model, I’ve found three player props that you’ll want to consider. Take a look below!
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Monday, August 4, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model believes Brandon Lowe will earn .552 hits tonight. Yet, his prop is at .5, with the under currently at +165. This plus-money bet has a lot of value!
Lefties Rarely Hit Lefties
Brandon Lowe, a left-handed slugger for the Rays, has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .178 with 40% of strikeouts against his last ten lefties.
Lowe has hit 50% of ground balls and no line drives. He’s also hit no baseballs with the barrel against his last ten lefties.
Tonight, he’s set to face Yusei Kikuchi of the Angels. Kikuchi has a lefty himself, who has struck out 28% of lefties over the last month. He’s also added 47.1% of ground balls and has given up only 11.8% of fly balls to his last 25 lefties.
Kikuchi has been a bit unlucky against lefties over the last month, allowing a .375 BABIP. But as long as the swinging strikes stay high and the fly ball rate stays low, he’ll start to see more success against lefties in the future.
Lowe has been dreadful against lefties lately, so this is a good matchup to take advantage of.
I’ll take Brandon Lowe to add below .5 hits at +165 odds. This is a great matchup to fade Lowe.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Monday, August 4, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model believes Manny Machado will add .371 runs tonight. However, his runs prop is at .5, with the under at just -115. We’ll want to fade Machado in this spot.
Can Brandon Pfaadt Stun Manny Machado?
The Padres have gotten some really good production out of Manny Machado over the last month. The star righty has hit a .246 ISO and wOBA of .426, while adding 70.4% of hard contact.
But that probably won’t last against Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks. Pfaadt has held his last 56 righties to a .127 ISO and wOBA of .284. He’s also earned 25% of his strikeouts during that time and has allowed only 1.8% of walks.
Ultimately, Pfaadt has allowed just 19.5% of fly balls and has looked really good against righties recently.
It’s possible Machado doesn’t even get on base with the way Pfaadt has pitched against righties lately. Take his Under .5 runs at -115 MLB odds.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Monday, August 4, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Dodger Stadium
Our AI Model predicts Miguel Rojas will record .47 hits. But his hits prop is at .5, with the under at +130. We love our plus-money value plays. Here’s another!
Miguel Rojas Is Losing Playing Time!
The Los Angeles Dodgers aren’t so thrilled with Miguel Rojas anymore. The right-hander has hit a .103 ISO and wOBA of .303 against his last 35 righties. He’s also added just 13.6% of fly balls with 27.3% of hard contact. That’s given him a .273 BABIP against righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, he’s in line to battle Sonny Gray of the Cardinals. Gray has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. He’s added 25% of strikeouts over the last 30 days and has walked just 1.9%. In addition, he’s induced 43.2% of ground balls and has allowed below 19% of fly balls in that same time.
Don’t count on Miguel Rojas to get a hit. Fade him instead.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
