There were a bunch of wacky upsets last night. We’ll see if there are more with today’s slate of games in the MLB.
Ultimately, the AI Model has flagged multiple games as potential underdogs. Therefore, I talked about them below and discussed why these upsets have a legitimate chance of cashing at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
Saturday, August 02, 2025 – 04:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park
The Texas Rangers are projected to win, 3.6-3.4, on the road today. They’re +110 on the moneyline, despite our AI Model expecting them to win. Consider the Rangers today.
Merrill Kelly’s First Chance With The Rangers?
The Texas Rangers were able to add a starting pitcher at the MLB Trade Deadline. The starter was Merrill Kelly, who will be pitching tonight.
Kelly has limited his last 93 batters to a .095 ISO and wOBA of .235 and figures to be a significant addition for the Rangers in the second half.
He’ll compete against Luis Castillo of the Mariners. Ultimately, Castillo has allowed a .369 wOBA to his last 58 lefties and has only earned 20.7% of strikeouts against lefties over the previous 30 days.
The Rangers should have six lefties in the lineup, including Josh Smith, who has been red-hot at the top of the lineup against righties.
Let’s ride the Rangers at +110 in this afternoon’s game.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Saturday, August 02, 2025 – 07:15 PM EDT at Bristol Motor Speedway
The AI Model suggests the Atlanta Braves will tie the Cincinnati Reds at 4.6 apiece in an exciting game at the Bristol Motor Speedway. Yet, the Braves are +105 underdogs in tonight’s showdown. Ultimately, backing the Braves is the way to go.
Spencer Strider Could Break Out!
The Braves have been getting a high number of strikeouts from Spencer Strider lately. However, the former all-star righty has allowed a .191 ISO and wOBA of .339 over the last month. That could change against the Reds.
After all, the Reds have hit a .129 ISO and wOBA of .314 against righties over the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Chase Burns will take the hill for the Reds. The rookie right-hander has struggled against lefties and will have to face the likes of Matt Olson, Drake Baldwin, and Michael Harris, who have all hit for power lately against righties.
In this exciting game at Bristol Motor Speedway, take the Braves priced around +105 at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review). I’d rather back the underdog with an all-star starter than a rookie.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
Saturday, August 02, 2025 – 10:10 PM EDT at Petco Park
Finally, our AI Model also believes the St. Louis Cardinals will earn a 4.3-3.9 win against the San Diego Padres on the road tonight. You can currently find the Cardinals at +125 on the moneyline. That’s a steal!
Good Luck Hitting For Power!
The St. Louis Cardinals are set to pitch right-handed starter Michael McGreevy. McGreevy has only added 5.8% of strikeouts over the last month. However, he’s also held his last 52 batters to a .062 ISO with just 21.3% of fly balls. He’s earned a solid amount of grounders and continues to keep walks down.
That should continue against the Padres, who have walked only 7.2% of the time collectively against righties as a projected lineup.
On the other hand, Randy Vasquez will take the hill for the Padres. Vasquez is a righty, who has allowed a .154 ISO and wOBA of .365 to his last 47 lefties. Those 47 lefties have hit 34.2% of fly balls and only 26.3% of grounders over the previous month. In addition, Vasquez has earned only 4.9% of strikeouts against his last 81 batters.
The Cardinals have red-hot bats like Brendan Donovan, Alec Burleson, and Nolan Gorman, who are all left-handed hitters.
Take the Cardinals at +125. It’s a steal according to our model.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
