There are two games on tonight’s NBA Playoffs schedule. Let’s take advantage of the games with two best bets using the AI Model’s help.
Before locking in your bets, here’s what you need to know about tonight’s matchup — straight from our top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary:
- T.J. McConnell Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-115)
- Chet Holmgren Under 1.5 Assists (+110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
Friday, May 09, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The AI Model thinks T.J. McConnell will add 10.6 points + rebounds in tonight’s game against the Cavaliers. The Pacers’ guard has a consensus line of just 8.5, with the over at -115. That’s a big-time play!
T.J. McConnell Works Hard!
There’s probably not a single player in the NBA who works as hard as T.J. McConnell. He’s an athlete who will pick up at full court and play defense. Despite being a bit undersized, he’s always known for being pesky and winning balls on the glass.
McConnell has only earned 15 points + rebounds in the last two games combined. He didn’t hit at least nine points + assists in either game. However, he’s still nailed at least nine points + rebounds in 72% of games this season.
He’s also added at least nine points + rebounds in eight of his last 13 games against the Cavaliers, averaging 10.8 in those games.
McConnell isn’t getting a heavy load of minutes. However, he’s still got a usage percentage of nearly 23% over the last ten games. When he’s in the game, McConnell is involved. He’s attempted more than seven shots per game during the previous ten games and has added a 50% field goal percentage.
In addition, he’s added about five rebound chances per game over the last ten games. However, in just 13.9 minutes of action in Game 2, McConnell still had six rebound chances. When he’s in the game, he’s involved.
The Pick
Grab T.J. McConnell to add at least nine points + rebounds tonight. The Pacers are home, and McConnell, along with the rest of the Pacers, should feed off that energy. McConnell is ultimately that energy guy off the bench for the Pacers. That should be huge. If he plays well to start the game, he could potentially see more minutes down the line.
NBA Pick: T.J. McConnell Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
Friday, May 09, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Ball Arena
The AI Model believes Chet Holmgren will add .999 assists tonight for the Thunder. Yet, his assists line is at 1.5, with the under boosted to +110. You’ll want to consider fading Holmgren in this spot.
Chet Won’t Make It Three Straight
Chet Holmgren has earned at least two assists in back-to-back games heading into tonight’s matchup. However, he’s only added at least two assists in two of his last three games. He’s also nailed this line in only five of 15 games against the Nuggets in his career.
Ultimately, the Nuggets rank 18th in assists allowed to centers this season, which is nothing to write home about. However, despite Holmgren adding two assists in both games of this series, he only had three potential assists in Game 2. He didn’t have many opportunities and just got lucky that his players made shots in his limited chances.
The Thunder aren’t playing through Holmgren right now. His usage percentage has been below 20% over the first two games of this series.
The Pick
Therefore, Holmgren is unlikely to add two or more assists in tonight’s game.
Grab Holmgren to add under 1.5 assists tonight.
NBA Pick: Chet Holmgren Under 1.5 Assists (+110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
