Who’s going to win it all this year? Kansas City (+550 at BetMGM) and Buffalo (+600 at Caesars) are the top contenders on the Super Bowl odds board heading into Week 10 of the 2025 NFL regular season, followed closely by Detroit (+850 at Caesars), but they don’t even lead their divisions at press time. Maybe there’s some betting value left in the teams that have leapt over them into first place:
- Denver Broncos (+1600 at BetMGM)
- New England Patriots (+2200 at Caesars)
- Green Bay Packers (+1000 at BetMGM)
All three of these would have been great bets at the open, but if you’re looking for real value now, you’ll have to look elsewhere – although the Broncos might still be worth a flyer at +1600 after opening at +4000. Let’s see which underappreciated clubs have the best shot at winning Super Bowl LX come February.
2025-26 Super Bowl Contenders to Watch
After looking at each team’s projections for winning the title and comparing them to the Super Bowl LX odds, it’s easy to see that “public” teams like Kansas City and Buffalo are overvalued – but so are the Patriots and Packers, still highly-recognized NFL brands despite some lean years of late.
Don’t bet on those guys; look instead at the following three candidates for your Super Bowl picks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2200 at Caesars)
The Buccaneers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) are the most likely of these three to cash in. They’re the only team in the NFC South with a positive point differential (plus-19) through the first half of the regular season, which should help them win their fifth straight division title and an automatic berth in the postseason. Tampa’s offense ranks eighth in the league at plus-3.6 on the Simple Rating System at Pro Football Reference, while their defense ranks ninth at plus-1.3 DSRS.
As always, health is the most important skill in football. The Buccaneers have no injuries to report at press time, having taken the bye in Week 9 – but can they keep QB Baker Mayfield sufficiently protected behind the No. 31-ranked offensive line at Pro Football Network?
Pittsburgh Steelers (+6600 at BetMGM)
Moving into the murky middle of plausible Super Bowl contenders, we find the Steelers (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) still at +6600 despite being the only winning team in the AFC North. That’s because the 3-5 Baltimore Ravens, who were preseason Super Bowl co-favorites at +700, are starting to show some life again now that Lamar Jackson is back under center.
But the Ravens have dug themselves too deep a hole to be worth considering at +1800, not when you can take the somewhat steady hand of QB Aaron Rodgers for more than three times the payout.
Houston Texans (+10000 at BetMGM)
Then you have those Super Bowl long shots – the ones you can picture winning the Big Game if you squint hard enough.
Houston (3-5 SU and ATS) probably won’t catch 7-2 Indianapolis for the AFC South title, but their plus-47 point differential is sixth in the AFC, so at least they’re Wild Card-worthy. That’s assuming quarterback C.J. Stroud (concussion) doesn’t miss any more action, of course. It’s worth a shot at this price.
What We’ve Covered and Next Steps
The great thing about betting the Super Bowl odds is you don’t have to choose just one of these teams. The sharp play is to bet all three (and Denver, for that matter) using the optimal bet sizes to match their individual edges versus the market price. As always, you should open betting accounts at multiple sportsbooks to get the best price on the board – this goes double when you bet on NFL futures, which can vary widely from one location to the next.
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*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
