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Jan 4, 2026 4:25 PM EST
Week 18
NE
-11 (-120)o46 (-110)
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Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Picks
Updated:Dec 30, 2025 1:22 AM EST
The upcoming NFL showdown on January 4, 2026, features the Miami Dolphins visiting the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. This game promises an exciting finish to the regular season as the Dolphins take on the Patriots on Sunday football, broadcast on FOX. Our expert picks highlight New England as the favorite with a predicted score of 27 to Miami's 19, and a spread of Patriots -10.5. The predicted total score is close to the under 46 line, suggesting a tighter defensive game.
Our betting tips are backed by strong historical data. Over the last 10 games, New England's point spread predictions have been solid, with a hit rate of 46.3% and an EV of -7.8%, showing consistent value. Additionally, the American totals market has been profitable, particularly the under bets, which have a hit rate of 50.6% and a favorable EV of -3.5%. These stats provide bettors with a smart edge in placing their bets.
For bettors looking to capitalize on this game, the best available odds for New England are around -10.5, while Miami's best line sits near +11.5. Don't miss out on expert insights and the best betting opportunities for this NFL matchup. Check out our detailed NFL picks and predictions for more expert analysis. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.
UPCOMING GAME PREDICTION
Spread
Money
Total
MIASpread
CONSENSUS LINE
+11 (-112)
PROJECTION
NE (27) - MIA (18)
COVER PROBABILITY
EXPECTED VALUE
+3.7%
BET RATING
SEASON COVER %
8/16
50%
NFL
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NFLWeek 18
 Tampa Bay 7-942% -2½ -113Caesars | |||||||
 San Francisco 12-432% +1½ -114SugarHouse | |||||||
 Minnesota 8-869% -5½ -120FanDuel | |||||||
 Houston 11-533% -10 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Cincinnati 6-1017% -7½ -107BetRivers | |||||||
 N.Y. Giants 3-1375% +5½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Atlanta 7-967% -2½ -117BetRivers | |||||||
 Jacksonville 12-40% -11½ -110BetRivers | |||||||
 New England 13-30% -10½ -118FanDuel | |||||||
 Las Vegas 2-1440% +5½ -105FanDuel | |||||||
 Chicago 11-550% -2 -120BetMGM | |||||||
 Buffalo 11-59% -7 -110Bet365 | |||||||
 Philadelphia 11-50% -7½ -110Bet365 | |||||||
 L.A. Rams 11-5- -7 -112FanDuel | |||||||
 Denver 13-333% -11½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 Pittsburgh 9-777% +3½ -113Caesars |
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