Betting Trends Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins

The upcoming NFL showdown on November 16, 2025, features the Washington Commanders visiting the Miami Dolphins at the iconic Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain. This regular season Week 11 game promises exciting Sunday football action, broadcasted on NFL Network, giving fans a prime opportunity to catch all the live action.

Miami Dolphins enter this matchup as favorites with a point spread of -2.5 and a total points line of 47.5. Their starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, is healthy and ready to lead an offense that averages 299.3 total yards per game, with a balanced attack of 192.1 passing yards and 107.2 rushing yards. Miami's pass protection has been solid, allowing only 12.4 sacks this season, which will be crucial against Washington's aggressive pass rush.

On the other side, the Washington Commanders, led by backup quarterback Josh Johnson due to an injury to their starter, face a tough challenge. Their offense averages 325.3 total yards, with a strong pass game (260.2 yards) but a less effective run game (65.1 yards). Washington's defense has struggled, giving up 394.6 total yards per game, including 260.2 passing yards. Their pass rush, however, has shown potential with 13.5 sacks, which could pressure Miami's quarterback.

Betting trends indicate Miami's home advantage and more consistent offensive line play could tilt the scales in their favor. Washington's weaker run defense vs Miami's effective rushing attack will be a key factor. The exact odds spread and total points line suggest a moderately close game with scoring potential, making the over/under bet attractive for bettors.

For bettors looking to make smart decisions, analyzing these betting trends, game stats, and player performances is critical. The Dolphins’ strong ATS record at home (3-2) compared to the Commanders' struggles on the road (1-4 ATS) also supports a Miami lean. Injuries to key Washington players like Treylon Burks and Terry McLaurin could hamper their offensive output. Meanwhile, Miami's questionable injuries seem manageable, with key players expected to play.

Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge. Check the best odds at Caesars with Miami favored -2.5 and the total at 47.5 points. For more details, revisit their last matchup on August 17, 2024, where Miami won 13-6.