2026 Oscars Betting Odds

Before getting into the 2026 Oscars betting odds, let’s take a quick look at which films have the most nominations this year:

• Sinners: 16
• One Battle After Another: 13
• Marty Supreme: 9
• Frankenstein: 9
• Sentimental Value: 9
• Hamnet: 8

It’s an intriguing year with a few films dominating the nominations. It will be interesting to see how the 2026 Oscars are divided among these films.  I believe that the Academy will spread the wealth, rather than mostly give it all to one movie. 

That’s because we have two movies dominating nominations in a way that we haven’t seen in a long time. For context, Sinners has the most nominations in history, while One Battle After Another has third-most of all-time. 

Given this rare scenario, it feels like there’s a good chance that awards will be divided between these two, at least to some degree.

In this section, we’re going to dive into every award, including Best Picture, Best Actor, and more. Scroll down to the section at the bottom for our five best bets.

2026 Oscars Betting Odds are courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook as of March 2 at 12 p.m. ET.

Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?

• One Battle After Another (-575)
• Sinners (+365)
• Hamnet (+2000)
• Marty Supreme (+5000)
• Sentimental Value (+20000)
• Frankenstein (+40000)
• Bugonia (+50000)
• F1: The Movie (+50000)
• The Secret Agent (+50000)
• Train Dreams (+50000)

One Battle After Another is such a heavy favorite because it has dominated awards season and built the kind of industry momentum that typically translates to a Best Picture win. The Paul Thomas Anderson film has taken top honors from the Producers Guild, which often aligns with the eventual Oscar winner. As the leader in nominations with a high-profile cast led by Leonardo DiCaprio, this looks like the clear winner.

Who will win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars?

• Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme (-120)
• Michael B. Jordan – Sinners (+120)
• Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent (+1100)
• Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another (+1300)
• Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon (+2000)

Timothée Chalamet looks like the best bet for Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars because he has already won Best Actor at the Critics Choice Awards, which is one of the first stops of the season. He also took home the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy. Critics have praised Chalamet as delivering one of his most compelling performances yet with this role. 

Who will win Best Actress at the 2026 Oscars?

• Jessie Buckley – Hamnet (-10000)
• Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (+1300)
• Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue (+5500)
• Emma Stone – Bugonia (+7000)
• Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value (+15000)

Jessie Buckley is an overwhelming favorite because she has swept the major awards season. She won Best Actress at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice Awards, and BAFTA, building the kind of momentum that typically locks up the Oscar. With broad critical acclaim and industry support across voting bodies, it’s easy to see why she’s such a massive favorite.

Who will win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?

• Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another (-2000)
• Ryan Coogler – Sinners (+600)
• Chloe Zhao – Hamnet (+3300)
• Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme (+8000)
• Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value (+12000)

Paul Thomas Anderson is the favorite for Best Director because he has built commanding awards season momentum. He won Best Director at the Directors Guild of America Awards, a precursor that historically predicts the Oscar winner. He also took home that honor from the Golden Globes.

Who will win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 Oscars?

• Sean Penn – One Battle After Another (-400)
• Stellan Skarsgard – Sentimental Value (+400)
• Delroy Lindo – Sinners (+1000)
• Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another (+1500)
• Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein (+2000)

Sean Penn has already won Best Supporting Actor at the Critics Choice Awards and the Screen Actors Guild Award, two major indicators that often align with Oscar success. His nuanced portrayal has been highlighted by many critics as one of the most compelling supporting roles of the year.

Who will win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Oscars?

• Amy Madigan – Weapons (-120)
• Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another (+200)
• Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners (+275)
• Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value (+2200)
• Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value (+8000)

Amy Madigan looks like the best bet for Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Oscars because she has already racked up key wins in the awards season. She took home Best Supporting Actress at the Critics Choice Awards and just won the Actor Awards (formerly SAG Awards) in the same category.

Who will win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars?

• Ryan Coogler – Sinners (-3000)
• Josh Safdie & Ronald Bronstein – Marty Supreme (+900)
• Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt – Sentimental Value (+1000)
• Jafar Panahi – It Was Just An Accident (+3300)
• Robert Kaplow – Blue Moon (+7500)

Sinners has already took home Best Original Screenplay at the Critics Choice Awards and the Golden Globes. Coogler’s sharp, character-driven script has been praised for its emotional depth and narrative cohesion. That combination of critical acclaim and precursor wins is why Sinners sits at such a short price in betting odds.

Who will win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars?

• Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another (-1800)
• Chloe Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell – Hamnet (+600)
• Guillermo del Toro – Frankenstein (+4000)
• Will Tracy – Bugonia (+5000)
• Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar – Train Dreams (+5000)

One Battle After Another is the clear frontrunner for Best Adapted Screenplay because the script has already picked up wins at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards. Combined with the film’s overall Best Picture buzz, the -1800 price reflects just how likely this movie is to win this award.

Who will win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

• KPop Demon Hunters (-2500)
• Zootopia 2 (+700)
• Little Amelie Or The Character Of Rain (+2000)
• Arco (+2000)
• Elio (+5000)

KPop Demon Hunters is such a massive favorite because it has controlled the animated awards race from start to finish. The film captured Best Animated Feature at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, then followed that up with a dominant showing at the Annie Awards, where it won across multiple major categories. That combination of industry guild support and mainstream awards momentum is typically a near-lock formula for Oscar success at this

Who will win Best International Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

• Sentimental Value (-250)
• The Secret Agent (+225)
• It Was Just An Accident (+700)
• The Voice Of Hind Rajab (+2800)
• Sirat (+5000)

Sentimental Value stands out as the likely winner because it captured the Golden Globe for Best Non-English Language Film and followed that up with strong support at the European Film Awards. This is one of the more affordable favorites on the board.

Who will win Best Documentary Feature at the 2026 Oscars?

• The Perfect Neighbor (-140)
• Mr. Nobody Against Putin (+300)
• The Alabama Solution (+500)
• Come See Me In The Good Light (+625)
• Cutting Through Rocks (+1500)

Mr. Nobody Against Putin is an intriguing value play at +300 because we could see the Academy could lean into politics here.. A film centered on resistance to Vladimir Putin carries timely geopolitical weight, which historically resonates with voters in this category. 

Who will win Best Documentary Short at the 2026 Oscars?

• All The Empty Rooms (-220)
• Armed Only With a Camera (+250)
• The Devil Is Busy (+525)
• Perfectly A Strangeness (+1200)
• Children No More (+2500)

All The Empty Rooms looks like the strongest play because it has translated festival buzz into awards momentum. The short won Best Documentary Short at the IDA Documentary Awards and followed that up with a victory at the Critics Choice Documentary Awards, two key precursors that frequently align with Oscar voters in this category. 

Who will win Best Live Action Short at the 2026 Oscars?

• Two People Exchanging Saliva (+120)
• The Singers (+220)
• A Friend of Dorothy (+250)
• Jane Austen’s Period Drama (+650)
• Butcher’s Stain (+1400)

Two People Exchanging Saliva has the edge because it won Best Live Action Short at the Palm Springs International ShortFest and later picked up a key victory at the BAFTA British Short Film Awards, two precursors that often line up with Academy tastes in this category.

Who will win Best Animated Short at the 2026 Oscars?

• Butterfly (-135)
• The Girl Who Cried Pearls (+200)
• Retirement Plan (+500)
• Forever Green (+600)
• The Three Sisters (+2500)

Butterfly has already picked up Best Animated Short at the Annie Awards and earned multiple wins on the international festival circuit, giving it strong visibility with voters in the animation branch. Oscar voters in this category often reward visually distinctive films with emotional depth, and Butterfly checks both boxes.

Who will win Best Original Score at the 2026 Oscars?

• Sinners (-4000)
• One Battle After Another (+900)
• Hamnet (+3300)
• Bugonia (+4000)
• Frankenstein (+4000)

Sinners is the overwhelming favorite for Best Original Score because its soundtrack has dominated the major music precursors throughout awards season. The film won Best Original Score at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, while its composer also secured top honors from key critics groups, signaling strong industry backing. 

Who will win Best Original Song at the 2026 Oscars?

• Golden KPop – Demon Hunters (-1000)
• I Lied To You – Sinners (+400)
• Dear Me – Relentless (+1600)
• Train Dreams – Train Dreams (+6000)
• Sweet Dreams Of Joy – Viva Verdi (+6000)

“Golden” from KPop Demon Hunters looks like the clear winner because it has been the breakout song of the year, both commercially and during awards season. The track won Best Original Song at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards. Its viral success helped push it beyond the typical animation bubble into mainstream pop culture. The Academy often rewards songs that feel bigger than the film itself, and “Golden” has that undeniable hook and global momentum. “We’re goin’ up, up, up…” I’m already singing it, it’s such a catchy song.

Who will win Best Casting at the 2026 Oscars?

• Sinners (-300)
• One Battle After Another (+325)
• Marty Supreme (+700)
• The Secret Agent (+1400)
• Hamnet (+4000)

Sinners has the edge in Best Casting thanks to its strong showing with industry guilds this season. The film won Outstanding Achievement in Casting – Big Budget Drama at the Artios Awards, the casting directors’ guild honor that often signals Oscar buzz in this category. 

Who will win Best Sound at the 2026 Oscars?

• F1: The Movie (-1200)
• Sinners (+625)
• Sirat (+1000)
• One Battle After Another (+4000)
• Frankenstein (+4000)

F1: The Movie is the clear frontrunner for Best Sound because its high-speed racing sequences are built around immersive, technical sound design. The film won Best Sound at the BAFTA Awards and took home top honors from the Motion Picture Sound Editors. With a mix of roaring engines, trackside realism, and theater-shaking audio mixing, it delivers the kind of large-scale sonic experience that should lock in this award.

Who will win Best Production Design at the 2026 Oscars?

• Frankenstein (-2000)
• Sinners (+700)
• Marty Supreme (+1800)
• One Battle After Another (+2500)
• Hamnet (+2500)

Frankenstein is the overwhelming favorite for Best Production Design because its gothic world-building has been one of the most visually celebrated achievements of the year. The film won Best Production Design at the BAFTA Awards and was honored by the Art Directors Guild. With its elaborate period sets, atmospheric laboratories, and meticulously crafted environments, it delivers the kind of large-scale visual craftsmanship that makes it stand out from the competition. 

Who will win Best Costume Design at the 2026 Oscars?

• Frankenstein (-3500)
• Sinners (+1000)
• Hamnet (+2500)
• Marty Supreme (+2800)
• Avatar: Fire and Ash (+6000)

Frankenstein is the clear leader in Best Costume Design because its wardrobe is inseparable from the film’s identity and mood. The intricate Victorian tailoring and dramatic silhouettes have been widely praised throughout awards season. The film picked up key recognition from the Costume Designers Guild. Period-heavy contenders often dominate this category, especially when the clothing feels handcrafted and story-driven rather than decorative, so expect Frankenstein to win this one.

Who will win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars?

• One Battle After Another (-300)
• Sinners (+300)
• Train Dreams (+500)
• Marty Supreme (+5000)
• Frankenstein (+7500)

Sinners has a real path to winning Best Cinematography because its visual style has been one of the most talked-about elements of the film all season. The movie earned top honors from the American Society of Cinematographers, making it a strong value at +300 odds.

Who will win Best Makeup & Hairstyling at the 2026 Oscars?

• Frankenstein (-3000)
• Sinners (+500)
• The Ugly Stepsister (+3600)
• The Smashing Machine (+5000)
• Kokuho (+5000)

Frankenstein is the overwhelming favorite for Best Makeup & Hairstyling because its transformative work on period character designs and bringing this monster to life have defined the film’s visual identity. The movie won Best Makeup & Hairstyling at the BAFTAs, so it’s no surprise that it comes at such a short price.

Who will win Best Film Editing at the 2026 Oscars?

• One Battle After Another (-450)
• F1: The Movie (+400)
• Sinners (+900)
• Marty Supreme (+4000)
• Sentimental Value (+8000)

One Battle After Another is the frontrunner for Best Film Editing because its pacing and structural precision have been central to the film’s acclaim all season. The movie won Best Editing at the BAFTA Awards, so it’s high likelihood of winning this award is reflected in the -450 price.

Who will win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 Oscars?

• Avatar: Fire and Ash (-3000)
• Sinners (+600)
• F1: The Movie (+1500)
• Jurassic World: Rebirth (+6600)
• The Lost Bus (+8000)

Avatar: Fire and Ash is the runaway favorite for Best Visual Effects because it once again pushes the technical boundaries of performance capture and digital world-building. The film dominated the Visual Effects Society Awards, so expect it to win this one.

2026 Oscars Predictions

Based on my 2026 Oscars predictions, this is how the film leaderboard would shake out for this year’s Academy Awards:

• One Battle After Another: 5
• Sinners: 4
• Frankenstein: 3
• KPop Demon Hunters: 2
• Marty Supreme: 1
• Hamnet: 1
• Weapons: 1
• F1: The Movie: 1
• Sentimental Value: 1
• Avatar: Fire and Ash: 1
• Butterfly: 1
• Two People Exchanging Saliva: 1
• All The Empty Rooms: 1
• Mr. Nobody Against Putin: 1

With One Battle After Another and Sinners getting so many nominations, it makes sense to predict that the Academy will spread out their awards relatively evenly. It also feels highly likely that Frankenstein will dominate the aesthetics and KPop Demon Hunters 2 will win for their viral song “Golden.”

2026 Oscars Best Bets

When betting on awards shows, we never want to lay too much juice. It’s a highly volatile market based on voting, so it’s risky to put down so much of your bankroll for a low return on investment. 

It’s also better to target markets with less fanfare, since the pricing isn’t as sharp. In other words, Best Picture has more action, so the line is probably more accurate, while something like Best Animated Documentary isn’t as popular, so we can exploit the pricing.

With that in mind, I’ve narrowed down my 2026 Oscars best bets to these five:

• Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme (-120)

This is the lone award that feels likely for Marty Supreme, so it’s a good idea to bet that the Academy will give them their credit for Chalamet’s phenomenal performance.

• Best Supporting Actress: Amy Madigan – Weapons (-120)

Given that Madigan has already taken home awards in precursors to the Oscars, it’s hard not to like her at this modest price of (-120) odds.

• Best Live Action Short: Two People Exchanging Salvia (+120)

Two People Exchanging Saliva has already won Best Live Action Short at the Palm Springs International ShortFest and at the BAFTA British Short Film Awards

• Best Animated Short: Butterfly (-135)

Butterfly has already won Best Animated Short at the Annie Awards, so we’ll lay a bit of juice on them at (-135) odds.

• Best Cinematography: Sinners (+300)

I chose Sinners here because I like the value at (+300) odds. If my predictions are correct and One Battle After Another takes Best Picture and Best Director, it would make sense for the Academy to give Sinners this one.