It might be a smaller slate tonight, but there’s still some value on the MLB board! I’ve added three best bets using the AI Model for tonight’s slate. Take a look below and consider tailing any of the plays at our top-rated sportsbooks!
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Tigers vs. Rockies and Phillies vs. Rays games!
Picks Summary:
- Blake Dunn Under .5 Hits (-109)
- Nolan Schanuel Under 1.5 Total Bases (-190)
- Michael Conforto Under .5 Total Bases (+120)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
Thursday, May 08, 2025 – 07:15 PM EDT at Truist Park
The AI Model projects Blake Dunn of the Reds will add .368 hits in tonight’s game. His consensus line is currently at .5, but his Under has odds of -109. That’s appealing.
Blake Dunn Shouldn’t Even Start!
Blake Dunn has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .221 against his last 28 righties this season. He’s also struck out 28.6% of the time and has hit more than 53% of ground balls over the last 30 days against righties.
Ultimately, Dunn has hit just 13.3% of fly balls against righties and has earned only 13.3% of hard contact. That’s all led to him hitting a .200 BABIP against righties over the last 30 days.
That said, he’ll duel Spencer Schwellenbach, who has limited righties to a .088 ISO and wOBA of .240. Schwellenbach has induced close to 57% of ground balls and has allowed fewer than 10% of fly balls. He’s also struck out nearly 25% of right-handed batters and has walked only 4.1%.
Dunn’s analytics don’t match up very well against Schwellenbach’s.
The Pick
Consider grabbing Dunn to go Under .5 hits.
MLB Pick: Blake Dunn Under .5 Hits (-109) at Caesars Sportsbook
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Thursday, May 08, 2025 – 09:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium
The AI Model thinks Nolan Schanuel will record .854 total bases tonight. Yet, his current total bases line is at 1.5, with the Under at -190. There’s some real value with this play.
The Lone Lefty Isn’t Hitting Well!
The Los Angeles Angels built their roster and lineup so awkwardly this year. The team has many switch-hitters at the bottom of the lineup against righties. However, the Angels only have one true left-handed hitter against righties. That’s Nolan Schanuel.
That said, Schanuel has hit a .145 ISO and wOBA of .303 against his last 72 righties. He’s also hit only 32.7% of hard contact and a 5.8% barrel percentage. Because of these numbers, he’s earned just a .240 BABIP.
He’ll go to war against Chris Bassitt tonight. Bassitt is a right-handed pitcher who has allowed a .188 ISO and wOBA of .341 to his first 89 lefties. Still, Bassitt has added nearly 26% of strikeouts and rarely walks lefties. There’s not much to get excited about tonight with Schanuel.
The Pick
I’m fading Schanuel and taking his Under in total bases tonight.
MLB Pick: Nolan Schanuel Under 1.5 Total Bases (-190) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Thursday, May 08, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Chase Field
Our AI Model predicts Michael Conforto will only add .293 total bases tonight. Meanwhile, his total bases prop is at .5, with the Under at +140. We love a good plus-money bet using the AI Model!
Michael Conforto Might Lose His Job!
The Dodgers brought in Michael Conforto to be an intriguing left-handed bat against righties. However, against his last 76 righties, he’s hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .149 with 31.6% of strikeouts.
Conforto has also hit 55% of ground balls and only 15% of line drives. He’s also added a 0.00% barrel percentage and a .100 BABIP. He’s been absolutely awful against righties.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Brandon Pfaadt of the Diamondbacks. While Pfaadt has allowed a .217 ISO and wOBA of .345 to his first 113 lefties this season, he’s also limited lefties to 42.5% of ground balls and 16.2% of fly balls. Beyond that, he’s added 23% of strikeouts and has walked only 3.5% of lefties.
Conforto likely doesn’t stand a chance.
The Pick
Let’s back Conforto to go Under .5 total bases tonight.
MLB Pick: Michael Conforto Under .5 Total Bases (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
