Often, Mondays are designated as getaway days for teams. However, that won’t be the case today.
All 30 teams in the MLB are playing tonight. Therefore, I’ve added three best bets for tonight’s action using the AI Model.
Let’s get to it before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
Monday, July 28, 2025 – 09:40 PM EDT at Globe Life Field
The AI Model thinks Jose Iglesias will add only .394 total bases against his former team. Meanwhile, his under .5 total bases is at +145. There’s so much value at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review).
Iglesias Will Battle His Old Team!
Jose Iglesias resurrected his career with the New York Mets. Now, he’s on the San Diego Padres and has slumped.
Over the last month, Iglesias has hit a .000 ISO and wOBA of .177 with only 3.4% of walks against righties. He’s also hit 58.3% of grounders with 16.7% of fly balls. That’s resulted in a .208 BABIP against righties over the last 30 days.
He’ll take on Frankie Montas of the New York Mets. While Montas has allowed a .209 ISO and wOBA of .328 against his last 47 righties, he’s still managed to earn 50% of ground balls and has allowed just 18.8% of line drives.
Montas has even struck out 25.5% of righties over the last month. So let’s take Iglesias to add below .5 total bases priced around +145.
Our AI Model thinks Jung Hoo Lee will add .32 runs tonight. Yet, his runs total is at .5, with the under at -145. The AI Model thinks this is a +13.4% EV play.
No Patience For Jung Hoo Lee!
The Giants will likely bat Jung Hoo Lee first in tonight’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Lee has hit a .304 wOBA with only 5.4% of walks against righties over the last 30 days as a left-handed hitter.
Meanwhile, he’ll take on Mitch Keller of the Pirates, who is auditioning for a spot on a playoff team by the MLB Trade Deadline. Keller has allowed a .271 wOBA to his last 102 batters and has held lefties to a .109 ISO and wOBA of .221 over the previous month.
Additionally, Lee has hit only 15.7% of line drives against righties in the last 30 days and has added just 35.3% of hard contact during that time.
It’s unlikely Lee will even get on base, so let’s take his Under .5 in runs while it’s priced around -145.
Our AI Model predicts Nick Kurtz will earn 1.462 total bases. He’s been red hot heading into this week and has a prop of over 1.5 total bases at -115 odds. There’s value on the over at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review).
Nick Kurtz is Crushing The Ball!
The Athletics have some really good young talent on the roster. Nick Kurtz is becoming a household name really fast, too.
He’s smacked a .625 ISO and wOBA of .668 against his last 78 righties as a left-handed batter. Sure, he’s taking on Luis Castillo. That will be a challenge in itself. However, Castillo has only struck out 19.7% of lefties over the last month and has allowed a .383 wOBA with 33.3% of line drives allowed.
There’s reason to believe Kurtz can take advantage and have a big night.
After all, he’s hit 40% of line drives over the last month against righties. He’s also got a .583 BABIP after hitting 86.7% of hard contact with a 40% barrel percentage. These numbers are video game numbers, but it’s real life! So let’s back Kurtz to add at least two total bases priced around -115.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
