BETTING

MLB Computer Picks for May 10: Tough Spot for Polanco

Jorge Polanco Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels
Jorge Polanco #7 of the Seattle Mariners watches his two run home run against the Los Angeles Angels. Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP

Using the AI Model, I searched for the best MLB bets for today’s slate. Below, I listed my three favorites with help from the AI Model. Let’s have a massive start to the weekend!

The Picks


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Saturday, May 10, 2025 – 8:10 PM EDT at Chase Field


The AI Model projects Hyeseong Kim will add .741 hits today. However, while his consensus line is stuck at .5, the under is currently boosted to +120. There’s still value on the under.

We’re Still Waiting For Kim To Breakout!

Hyeseong Kim was called up to the majors about a week ago. He’s still hit a .000 ISO and wOBa of .278 against his first 16 righties as a left-handed batter.

Kim has also struck out 25% of the time against righties and hasn’t walked once. He’s also hit 25% of hard contact and a 0% barrel percentage against righties.

Meanwhile, he’ll bat against Arizona ace Corbin Burnes. Burnes hasn’t been fantastic this season, but he’s still got a lot of potential the rest of the season. After all, Burnes limited lefties to a .092 ISO and wOBA of .255 last season. He also allowed just 17.9% of line drives and 20.4% of fly balls, with only 6.2% of walks.

Burnes will start to figure it out. It won’t be Kim who will beat him in the Dodgers’ lineup.

Let’s ride with the Under for Kim’s hits and side with the AI Model here.

MLB Pick: Hyeseong Kim Under 0.5 Hits (+120) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels

Saturday, May 10, 2025 – 9:38 PM EDT at Angel Stadium


The AI Model thinks Taylor Ward will rip only .586 hits tonight against the Orioles. However, his consensus line is at .5, with the under juiced to +145. According to the model, the under is a steal.

It’s Power or Bust For Ward!

Taylor Ward has added a .269 ISO and a wOBA of .293 against righties over the last 30 days. The right-handed outfielder has also struck out nearly 34% of the time and has hit only 16% of line drives.

Meanwhile, he’ll go up against Kyle Gibson of the Orioles. The veteran righty has allowed a .400 ISO and wOBA of .490 to his first 22 righties this season. However, that’s a small sample size. Last year, Gibson held 333 righties to a .132 ISO and wOBA of .287 with more than 50% of ground balls.

That’s more of what we can expect from Gibson moving forward. Grab Ward to go under .5 hits tonight.

MLB Pick: Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits (+145) at Caesars Sportsbook


Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners

Saturday, May 10, 2025 – 9:40 PM EDT at T-Mobile Park


Our AI Model predicts Jorge Polanco will add .79 total bases in tonight’s game against the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, his prop is currently at 1.5, with the under at -160. That’s really good value.

Can Jorge Polanco Continue Ripping The Ball?

The Seattle Mariners are getting some great production out of Jorge Polanco. He’s hit a .433 ISO and wOBA of .496 with only 10.4% of strikeouts against right-handed pitching this season.

The switch-hitting infielder has also socked 64.8% of hard contact with a 22.2% barrel percentage.

Meanwhile, he’ll battle Bowden Francis of the Toronto Blue Jays. Francis has struggled against lefties this season, but limited 187 lefties last year to a .277 wOBA. Francis doesn’t fall behind in counts often. He’s also limited line drives to 22.7% against lefties.

If he continues to limit walks and limit line drives, he’ll perform better down the line against lefties.

On the other hand, it’ll be hard for Polanco to replicate his recent success. After all, he’s only hit 24.1% of line drives himself against righties over the last month.

Let’s be brave and take Jorge Polanco to go under 1.5 total bases tonight.

MLB Pick: Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Total Bases (-160) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-GAMBLER

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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