The MLB slate is loaded with some intriguing matchups. Tonight, I’m looking for some massive underdogs to help us earn a huge profit at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Using the AI Model, I’ve identified a few bets and shared them below.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, August 23, 2025 – 06:05 PM EDT at Citizens Bank Park
The AI Model believes the Philadelphia Phillies will add a 6.1-3.5 victory over the Washington Nationals. Therefore, forget the Phillies at -1.5.
Let’s try them at -2.5 (+118). That’s some good underdog value.
Mitchell Parker Isn’t It!
The Washington Nationals are set to pitch Mitchell Parker tonight. The left-hander has struck out just 13.1% of batters over the last 30 days. He’s also allowed a .261 ISO and wOBA of .425 to his last 107 batters, while giving up 39% of line drives with just 32.9% of ground balls induced.
The Phillies have some power-hitting lefties who can actually hit Parker. In addition, the lineup has launched a .235 ISO against lefties over the last 30 days.
Parker will duel it out with Aaron Nola, who recently made his return to the mound after an injury. Nola struck out nearly 27% of his first 15 batters since returning and allowed just a .143 ISO.
He’ll only get stronger as he throws more. So don’t be afraid to take Phillies’ -2.5 while priced around +118 at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review).
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, August 23, 2025 – 08:10 PM EDT at Chase Field
The Arizona Diamondbacks are expected to add a 5.3-4.3 win over the Cincinnati Reds tonight using the AI Model. Yet, the Diamondbacks are +115.
That’s a play you can’t pass up!
Will Luck Run Out For Andrew Abbott?
The Cincinnati Reds are set to throw Andrew Abbott tonight. The left-hander has allowed just a .136 ISO and wOBA of .268 to his last 129 batters.
However, he’s only struck out 18.6% of batters during that stretch, and he’s allowed nearly as many fly balls as ground balls induced over the last month.
During this time, Abbott has allowed a BABIP of .228. But if he continues to have low strikeouts and doesn’t get a high rate of ground balls, that BABIP rate should easily increase over time.
On the flip side, it’ll be Nabil Crismatt for the Diamondbacks. The right-hander has faced 19 batters this season and allowed a .000 ISO and wOBA of .177. He’s also induced close to 54% of ground balls and struck out 26.3% of his first 19 batters this year.
Meanwhile, he’ll match up against a Reds lineup that has hit a .123 ISO and wOBA of .296 against righties over the last month.
I trust the Diamondbacks more in this spot as well.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Saturday, August 23, 2025 – 08:40 PM EDT at Petco Park
The AI Model predicts the Los Angeles Dodgers will earn a 5.1-2.5 win over the Padres with Tyler Glasnow on the mound. Forget the moneyline. Let’s take the runline for the Dodgers at -1.5 (+125).
Let The Strikeouts Keep Coming!
Tyler Glasnow will take the hill for the Dodgers.
The right-hander has struck out nearly 29% of batters over the last 30 days. In addition, he’s induced 53.8% of ground balls during that stretch and has allowed just 17.3% of fly balls.
Glasnow is pitching deep into games and looks as consistent as he’s been all season long.
Meanwhile, he’ll face Nestor Cortes, who is probably having his worst season in the bigs.
Cortes has allowed a .246 ISO and a wOBA of .394 over the last month. He’s also allowed 52.3% of hard contact and has walked close to 12% of batters.
The Dodgers have enough pieces in their lineup to take advantage of Cortes’ struggles. I’m on the Dodgers at -1.5 (+125) thanks to the AI Model.
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
