The NFL is rolling into Week 9, and this week, we are going to look at the premier position in the sport. There are many talented men playing quarterback in the NFL, but sometimes what separates them from the pack, especially when diagnosing player props, is the defense that they are facing.
Today, for our NFL prop bets, we targeted two emerging quarterbacks going against weak defenses and one young quarterback going against a strong defense. Let’s dive right in to find out who will thrive and who will sputter this Sunday.
Check out the NFL player props week 9 for more player-focused action across every game.
NFL Prop Bets Week 9 At-a-Glance
This guide highlights three of this week’s football player props for Week 9 — each tied to a high-profile game and a high-impact player.
We’ll look at the passing yard totals for Caleb Williams, JJ McCarthy, and Trevor Lawrence. These are three young quarterbacks still learning how to play in this league, and we will break down where the betting value lies for each player.
Let’s start with an emerging NFL talent, Caleb Williams.
Bears’ Caleb Williams (Over 234.5 Passing Yards)
Sunday, November 02, 2025 – 01:00 PM EDT
Sometimes we are betting on a player, and sometimes we are betting against a defense. In this case, we are betting more against the defense of the Cincinnati Bengals.
However, we’re not doing it with just anybody.
Caleb Williams, last year’s number one overall draft pick, is a player who has excellent arm talent and has the ability to put up big numbers. In the three games since the Bears’ bye week, Caleb has gone over this number twice, including 285 yards last week against the Baltimore Ravens.
Accordingly, the over 234.5 passing yards is drawing attention from sharp bettors. The Cincinnati Bengals have given up 2099 yards through the air in just eight games this season, which is the third most in the league. That is an average of 262.3 passing yards allowed per game.
Williams has continued to improve each week under his head coach, offensive guru Ben Johnson. I expect to see this improvement each week for the rest of the season. So bet on Williams to have a big game against the woeful Cincinnati defense.
Vikings’ JJ McCarthy (Under 206.5 Receiving Yards)
Sunday, November 02, 2025 – 01:00 PM EDT
The Minnesota Vikings will be facing the strong defense of the Detroit Lions this week. And they will also be returning to second-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy after an injury to quarterback Carson Wentz.
McCarthy has only started two games in his career, and neither has been very impressive. It is safe to say that McCarthy has only played one good quarter of football in his short career.
McCarthy threw for 143 yards in his debut against Chicago and then followed that up with a 158-yard performance against Atlanta. There are also questions about whether McCarthy is 100% healthy.
The Detroit Lions have one of the better passing defenses in the league, with only 1,630 yards passing yards allowed in seven games. The Lions have done an excellent job of shutting down the weaker teams. Joe Flacco only had 184 yards when he played against the Lions.
The Lions also held Caleb Williams to only 207 yards. Both those players are much more skilled and capable than this current version of JJ McCarthy. McCarthy will be returning to the lineup, yet his struggles against NFL defenses will remain.
Jaguars’ Trevor Lawrence (Over 232.5 passing yards)
Sunday, November 02, 2025 – 04:05 PM EDT
Trevor Lawrence averages 232.5 yards per game, and this line is set really close to his average at 231.4. However, the Raiders aren’t an average defense; they are exceptionally bad.
Last week, the Raiders gave up 286 yards passing to Patrick Mahomes. Trevor Lawrence is playing for the best offensive coach in his career, and it is shown in his results. Lawrence’s statistics look like a staircase.
After throwing for only 174 yards in Week 4, Lawrence passed for:
- 221 yards against Kansas City
- 258 yards against Seattle
- 296 yards against the Rams
Bet Trevor Lawrence over on his passing yards.
Your Week 9 Player Prop Playbook
These NFL player props Week 9 picks highlight three quarterbacks, two of which primed to hit their numbers: Caleb Williams against the Bengals, and Trevor Lawrence against the Raiders. We also expect JJ McCarthy to have another rough outing as he navigates through his third NFL start.
Of the three, Caleb Williams feels like the safest play given the Bengals’ inept defense.
Keep in mind that timing is everything. Injury news, weather, and late line shifts can all impact prop markets. Lock in your plays early to secure the best number.
And make sure to check other NFL prop bets and find hidden value across every game.
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Use this sports betting tool to sharpen your NFL player props week 9 plays on stars like Williams, McCarthy, and Lawrence. Explore all the odds tips and bet analyzers available now.
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