Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Betting Trends

The upcoming Sunday night football clash on January 4, 2026, between the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA, is set to be a thrilling NFL regular season finale. This game brings together two teams with contrasting strengths and key player matchups that could sway betting trends significantly.

New England Patriots, boasting a strong 13-3 straight-up record and an impressive 11-5 against the spread, will be the home favorites. Quarterback Tommy DeVito leads the Patriots' offense, which averages 252.75 passing yards and 121.75 total yards per game. Their pass protection is solid, helping DeVito avoid pressure from Miami's pass rush. On defense, New England is effective against the pass, allowing just 198.31 passing yards per game.

The Miami Dolphins, with a balanced 7-9 straight-up record and an 8-8 ATS, look to challenge the Patriots with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Miami's offense averages 184.44 passing yards and 308.25 total yards per game, but they face a tough Patriots defense that limits rushing to about 104 yards per game. Miami’s pass protection will be tested against New England’s aggressive pass rush, which has recorded 3 sacks per game.

Betting trends indicate a spread of -11 points favoring New England with a total points line set at 45.5. This suggests expectations of a high-scoring game where the Patriots have the edge. The Dolphins’ recent form includes some solid wins but inconsistency, while the Patriots have been dominant at home. Key injuries include questionable status for Miami’s Aaron Brewer and Darren Waller, which could impact offensive efficiency.

For bettors, understanding these game insights and betting stats can guide smarter wagers. The Patriots’ home advantage and recent performances make them a strong bet against the spread, while the total points over 45.5 is appealing given both teams’ offensive capabilities. Watch the game on FOX and consider placing your bets with a trusted U.S. sportsbook or Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription to get an edge.

In their last matchup on September 14, 2025, the Patriots edged out the Dolphins 33-27 in a close contest that went over the total points line, highlighting the offensive potential of both teams.