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Nov 16, 2025 9:30 AM EST
Week 11
MIA
-2½ (-115)o47 (-110)
212, NFL NetworkMATCHUP
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Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins Betting Trends
Updated:Nov 15, 2025 1:25 AM EST
The upcoming NFL showdown on November 16, 2025, between the Washington Commanders and the Miami Dolphins at Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid promises an exciting clash of styles and strategic gameplay. This Sunday football game will be broadcast on NFL Network, offering fans and bettors a thrilling viewing experience.
The Miami Dolphins enter as favorites with a -2.5 point spread and an over/under total of 47.5 points. The Dolphins boast a strong passing offense averaging 192.1 yards per game, led by starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who remains healthy and ready to play. Their passing attack will challenge the Commanders' defense, which allows 260.2 passing yards per game. However, Miami's run offense, averaging 107.2 yards, faces a tough test against Washington's stout run defense allowing just 134.4 yards per game. The Dolphins' offensive line must hold up against a Commanders' pass rush that averages 2.2 sacks per game to give Tagovailoa time to make plays.
On the other side, the Washington Commanders will start backup quarterback Josh Johnson due to the injury status of starter Jayden Daniels, who is out with an elbow injury. The Commanders' passing offense averages 190.1 yards per game, slightly less than Miami's, but their defense has been vulnerable, allowing high yardage. Washington's run offense is solid at 135.2 yards per game, which could be key against Miami's run defense that allows 139.7 yards per game. The Commanders will look to control the clock and pressure the Dolphins' quarterback to create turnovers.
Recent form favors Miami, with notable wins against the Buffalo Bills and Atlanta Falcons, while Washington has struggled in recent outings. The Dolphins' home ATS record of 3-2 and overall 5-5 ATS contrast with the Commanders' 3-7 ATS record. These betting trends suggest Miami's edge, but the game total of 47.5 points indicates a potentially high-scoring affair.
Bettors should consider the quarterback advantage, Miami's superior pass offense, and the key injuries affecting Washington's lineup. The best odds available today for Miami are -2.5 at Caesars and +2.5 for Washington. Ready to bet smarter? Start your OddsTrader Turbo subscription now or place your bet with a U.S. regulated sportsbook and profit off the edge.
For a look back, check out their last matchup on August 17, 2024, where Miami won 13-6.
ATS Records
All
3-7 (32nd)Against the Spread5-5 (16th)
3-7 (26th)Straight Up3-7 (25th)
-4.7Straight Up Units-0.3
5-4-1Over / Under6-4
TEAM MATCHUP
OFF
DEF
OFF
DEF
22.3Points21
10.3First Half11.3
12Second Half9.7
2.5First Quarter3.7
7.8Second Quarter7.6
5.3Third Quarter2.7
6.7Fourth Quarter7
325.3Total Yards299.3
6.1Yards Per Play5.6
190.1Passing Yards192.1
17.7 - 27.8 (63.7%)Completions-Attempts21.1 - 31 (68.1%)
6.3Yards Per Passing Play5.8
2.6 (14)Sacks (Yards)2 (12)
135.2Rushing Yards107.2
27.5Attempts22.9
4.9Yards Per Rush4.7
18.31st Downs17.2
9Passing10.8
7.1Rushing5.3
2.2Penalties1.1
4.2 / 11.1 (37.8%)3rd Down4.5 / 11.8 (38.1%)
0.9 / 1.6 (56.3%)4th Down0.9 / 1.6 (56.3%)
2 / 2.5 (80%)Red Zone1.6 / 2.7 (59.3%)
7.2 (61.2)Penalties (Yards)6.3 (52.3)
1.1Turnovers0.6
0.5Interceptions0.2
0.6Fumbles Lost0.4
57.9Total Plays55.9
4.7Kickoffs4.6
4.3Returns4.5
126.7Return Yards118.1
29.5Yards Per Return26.2
3.3Punts3.2
1.7Returns1.4
22.3Return Yards22.3
13.1Yards Per Return15.9
Priority Injuries
PRIORITYTerry McLaurin
Out
17 Wide Receiver
No priority injuries for this team
Recent Results
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NFLWeek 11
 Miami 3-763% -2½ -110FanDuel | |||||||
 N.Y. Giants 2-881% +7½ -120FanDuel | |||||||
 Buffalo 6-340% -5½ -120FanDuel | |||||||
 Pittsburgh 5-442% -5½ -108FanDuel | |||||||
 Tennessee 1-851% +6½ -118SugarHouse | |||||||
 Minnesota 4-542% -2 -125BetMGM | |||||||
 Atlanta 3-645% -3½ -105Bet365 | |||||||
 Jacksonville 5-447% +3 -115Caesars | |||||||
 L.A. Rams 7-250% -3 -120Bet365 | |||||||
 Arizona 3-673% +3½ -110Caesars | |||||||
 Cleveland 2-765% +8 -117SugarHouse | |||||||
 Denver 8-276% +4 -105BetMGM | |||||||
 Philadelphia 7-269% -2½ -115BetRivers | |||||||
 Las Vegas 2-793% +3½ -112BetRivers | |||||||
 New England 9-227 -12½ -110FanDuel |
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