Get ready for an exciting week of golf as the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill in Orlando, Florida, for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, taking place from March 7 to 10. Here are our favorite picks, with odds from the top sportsbooks, for the event.
Picks Summary
- Tommy Fleetwood to Win Outright (+2800)
- Tommy Fleetwood to Finish Top 10 (+250)
- Matthew Fitzpatrick to Win Outright (+3300)
- Matthew Fitzpatrick to Finish Top 10 (+300)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Arnold Palmer Invitational
March 7 – 10, 2024 at Bay Hill Golf Course
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational and Bay Hill Club
This week the PGA Tour stays in Florida and moves on to a signature event at the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill in Orlando. Historically one of the more challenging weeks on the PGA Tour. Tiger Woods dominated this event for two decades in remarkable fashion, winning it on eight occasions. His last win here was in 2013, and since there has been an eclectic mix of winners with last year’s winner Kurt Kitayama springing a huge surprise at prices more than (+15000).
The Bay Hill Club sets an exacting test off the tee, so total driving is a good metric to start with, while good Bermuda grass greens and Florida form will not harm a player’s chances. With a settled forecast and light winds, this week’s test will not be as tough as some years and maybe the winning score will be over 10-under par.
That will suit both our selections from England who thrive in an exacting test of golf, and will they make it four years in the last seven that a European has won the Arnold Palmer Invitational?
Will This Finally Be Tommy’s Week?
Yes, we believe Tommy Fleetwood’s first PGA Tour win may finally arrive in Florida next weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
There is much to recommend the thirty-three-year-old Englishman this week, not least his recent solid form that has seen him win his second start of the year, albeit on the DP World Tour at the Dubai Invitational; incidentally, that was his seventh DP World Tour title.
Yes, he missed a couple of great chances last year on the PGA Tour, none more so than the Canadian Open where he had numerous makeable putts to take ultimate control at the end, eventually losing to Nick Taylor who made a huge putt in their sudden-death playoff.
In Good Form
The week before the Genesis Invitational, Fleetwood was seen practicing in Las Vegas with his well-known coach, Butch Harmon. This is the second year, the two have worked together and the fruits of their labor can be seen on the course, indeed his 10th-place finish at Riviera was proof that he is trending in the right direction.
With that in mind, his resume of form at Bay Hill is super solid with three top 10s in the last seven renewals. Bay Hill has often been a favorite stop for many of the European contingent that all seem ideally suited by course demands and conditions over the years.
The casting vote for Tommy Fleetwood this week, is that his tournament wins are at events where par is more difficult and that has always been the case at Bay Hill. Bet365 havs great odds for Tommy Fleetwood winning this week at +3300, and make sure you combine that with a top 10 finish for maximized gains.
Golf Pick: Tommy Fleetwood to Win Outright (+2800) at Bet365
Golf Pick: Tommy Fleetwood to Finish Top 10 (+250) at Bet365
Can Fitzy Take Care of Unfinished Business?
Matthew Fitzpatrick, who has been a mainstay at the top of the Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboards in recent years, can win this week’s renewal.
Runner-up to an inspired round from Francesco Molinari in 2019, Fitzpatrick has “unfinished business” at Bay Hill. That “unfinished business” is the fact that the twenty-nine-year-old from Sheffield in Yorkshire has a strong plethora of form at Bay Hill.
The last eight years have seen Fitzpatrick placed in the top 15 on a remarkable six occasions and after promise in his effort last week at the Cognizant Classic, he is a lock to play well.
The Europeans have such a strong plethora of form at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the years with Tyrrell Hatton, Rory McIlroy and Molinari all winning in the last six seasons.
We suggest betting Matt Fitzpatrick win and top 10 finish at Bet365.
Golf Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick to Win Outright (+3300) at Bet365
Golf Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick to Finish Top 10 (+300) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
