Last night’s two-game NBA slate was absolutely wild. Hopefully, tonight’s games match the energy in yesterday’s games. That said, I’ve added two best bets using the AI Model for tonight’s action. Check it out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
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Picks Summary
- Donovan Mitchell Under 28.5 Points (-112)
- Draymond Green Over 12.5 Points + Assists (-120)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Tuesday, May 06, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Rocket Arena
The AI Model thinks Donovan Mitchell will score 23.484 points tonight. However, his prop is currently at 28.5, with the Under at -112. The AI Model thinks there’s a lot of value in Mitchell to go Under.
Can We Expect Another 30-Piece From Donovan Mitchell?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have many key players injured heading into Game 2 of this series. Right now, we don’t even know about:
All three are currently questionable, and it’s possible that they can sit.
Mitchell will be relied upon a lot in this game. But he’s only added at least 29 points in 30% of games this season. In addition, he’s nailed at least 29 points in only four of his last ten games and 20% of his previous 20 games.
While the Cavaliers have been a part of many blowout wins, asking Mitchell to score 30+ points against the Pacers is difficult. The Pacers still tank 9th in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed to shooting guards. They’re also in the top 15 in free throws allowed to shooting guards.
Meanwhile, Mitchell has only shot 47.2% over the last ten games. He also hit only 9% from downtown in Game 1 against the Pacers. He’s only hit 36.4% from downtown over the previous ten games and had his most three-point attempts over the last ten-game span in Game 1 of this series.
It took 30 shots and 11 three-point attempts to get to 33 points for Mitchell in a loss. If the Cavaliers want to win, they will need other players to step up. Maybe that’ll be Ty Jerome or Jarrett Allen. But Mitchell can’t do it on his own. The Pacers had a good game plan and forced Mitchell to be a one-man shot. It didn’t work out, and now the Pacers lead the Cavaliers 1-0 in the series.
The Pick
Let’s rock with Mitchell to add below 29 points tonight. Thank the AI Model when this bet hits!
NBA Pick: Donovan Mitchell Under 28.5 Points (-112) at Caesars Sportsbook
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Tuesday, May 06, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at Target Center
The AI Model believes Draymond Green will earn 14.9 points + assists in tonight’s game for the Warriors. With his over line at 12.5 (-120), you’ll want to consider taking Green to go over here.
Draymond Is Clutch!
Draymond Green has added at least 15 points + assists in two consecutive games. He’s also hit this line in 59% of games this season and has nailed at least 13 points + assists in eight of his last nine games against the Timberwolves.
Green stepped up in a big way for the Warriors in the first-round Game 7 matchup against the Rockets. He played nearly 40 minutes and had a usage percentage of 20.7%, which was the second-highest over the last ten games. In addition, Green has added 23 potential assists in his last two games. He’s also taken 23 shots per game in the previous two games.
The Warriors needed Green to step up in some big spots, and he did. He’ll do the same against the Timberwolves, especially since he already acknowledged he’ll be careful about getting techs so he can stay on the floor and help the team win.
The Pick
Take a chance with Green to go Over 12.5 points + assists in Game 1 against the Timberwolves. He typically gets this number with ease against the T-Wolves. In the playoffs, he’s way more locked in, as we saw in Game 7 of the first round a couple of days ago.
NBA Pick: Draymond Green Over 12.5 Points + Assists (-120) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
